Stock Trading Canary

Snapshot date: 2026-10-18 · Built: 2026-10-19T14:56:20+00:00 · Publication status: PASS

← Europe ranking · 中文

COMPANY RESEARCH

BASF SE

BAS.DE · Germany · Basic Materials · Chemicals

INSIDER SIGNAL

Insider activity score:73.5 / 100

5 insiders · 5 purchase events · €565k net purchases

Europe #28 · Germany #7

WHY THIS SIGNAL?

Score anatomy

Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.

Cluster+35.0 / 35

How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster

Purchase size+21.5 / 25

Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity

Role+13.0 / 20

The seniority and relevance of participating insiders

Recency+0.0 / 10

How recently the purchases occurred

Conviction+10.0 / 10

How clearly buying stands out from other activity

What is holding the score back?

  • ⚠ Insider role contributes less on the current role scale
  • ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
  • ✓ Broad buyer cluster · 4+ distinct filers

The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.

BUYING PROFILE

5 events · 5 insiders · 180d

Cluster 100%Repeat 0%Independent 0%Large 0%

Percentages are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%.

Buying concentration

37%

Largest buyer:Katja Scharpwinkel · 211k EUR
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value:565k EUR

The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.

This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.

Key purchase quotes (filing currency)

FilerPrice per unitTrade date
Dirk Elvermann50.91 EURMay 8, 2026
Katja Scharpwinkel52.79 EURMay 4, 2026
Kurt Bock53.627 EURMay 4, 2026
Model details

Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)

15-day buyer breadth (count)
5 distinct reported filers
Peak time window
2026-05-04 to 2026-05-08
Current breadth input
1.000 (capped at 4+ buyers)
Buyer independence
Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable

What the filings show

Insider vs stock price

2 purchase day(s), 5 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.

Daily close (EUR)Day with an insider purchaseTwo or more insiders the same day
48505254May 2026JunJulAugSepOct2026-05-04 · 4 purchase line(s) · 4 insider(s) · close since that day -0.7%2026-05-08 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +1.6%52.46last close14 Oct

Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.

Insider timeline

5 insiders bought within 5 days, 4 May to 8 May: 3 Management board, 2 Supervisory board. The share closed at 52.85 on the first of those days and at 52.46 most recently (−0.7%). That week 241 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, more than in 88% of the last 26 weeks: insiders often buy together when a closed period ends, so the timing alone says less than it seems.

Several insiders within 15 days: 2026-05-04 – 2026-05-08Katja ScharpwinkelKatja ScharpwinkelVorstand b) ErstmeldungManagement boardStephan KothradeStephan KothradeVorstand b) ErstmeldungManagement boardDirk ElvermannDirk ElvermannVorstand b) ErstmeldungManagement boardKurt BockKurt BockAufsichtsrat b) ErstmeldungSupervisory boardStefan AsenkerschbaumerStefan AsenkerschbaumerAufsichtsrat b) ErstmeldungSupervisory board2026-05-04 · Katja Scharpwinkel · purchase · value not reported2026-05-04 · Kurt Bock · purchase · value not reported2026-05-04 · Stefan Asenkerschbaumer · purchase · value not reported2026-05-04 · Stephan Kothrade · purchase · value not reported2026-05-08 · Dirk Elvermann · purchase · value not reported2026-04-20 to 2026-04-26: 136 companies2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03: 203 companies2026-05-04 to 2026-05-10: 241 companies2026-05-11 to 2026-05-17: 211 companies2026-05-18 to 2026-05-24: 244 companies2026-05-25 to 2026-05-31: 237 companies2026-06-01 to 2026-06-07: 243 companies2026-06-08 to 2026-06-14: 237 companies2026-06-15 to 2026-06-21: 211 companies2026-06-22 to 2026-06-28: 185 companies2026-06-29 to 2026-07-05: 192 companies2026-07-06 to 2026-07-12: 160 companies2026-07-13 to 2026-07-19: 181 companies2026-07-20 to 2026-07-26: 167 companies2026-07-27 to 2026-08-02: 160 companies2026-08-03 to 2026-08-09: 152 companies2026-08-10 to 2026-08-16: 164 companies2026-08-17 to 2026-08-23: 194 companies2026-08-24 to 2026-08-30: 182 companies2026-08-31 to 2026-09-06: 188 companies2026-09-07 to 2026-09-13: 178 companies2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: 173 companies2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27: 179 companies2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04: 183 companies2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11: 166 companies2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18: 138 companiesCompanies disclosing purchases, per weekMayJunJulAugSepOct

Tap an item for what it means.

●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought

Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount. None of this company's filings in the window states an amount, so every dot is the same size.

▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days

The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 4 May – 8 May, with 5 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.

Blue line: this share's price, −1.9% over these six months

The closing price of each day, from 53.49 on 2026-04-21 to 52.46 on 2026-10-14. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.

Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, −6.1%

Taken from the 88 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share −1.9%, the typical one −6.1%, 4.1 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.

▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week

A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 241 companies, number 3 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.

This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months

Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
5May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct

Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.

Who traded

InsiderRolePurchasesSalesBoughtFirst purchaseShare price sinceEarlier purchases
Katja ScharpwinkelManagement board1——2026-05-04−0.7%fewer than 5 completed
Stephan KothradeManagement board1——2026-05-04−0.7%fewer than 5 completed
Dirk ElvermannManagement board1——2026-05-08+1.6%fewer than 5 completed
Kurt BockSupervisory board1——2026-05-04−0.7%fewer than 5 completed
Stefan AsenkerschbaumerSupervisory board1——2026-05-04−0.7%fewer than 5 completed
Why this score? · Model details

Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)

FactorWeightThis company inputPoint contribution
15-day buyer breadth (count)35%1.00035.0
Qualified-buy size25%0.85921.5
Role informativeness (inverted)20%0.3507.0
Recency10%0.0000.0
Buy/sell conviction10%1.00010.0

This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.

BULL VS BEAR

Two readings of this buying

The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.

Since 2026-10-13, neither column has changed. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →

Where the evidence comes from

Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (several insiders together, more buyers than usual here); share price and trading, short sellers, company results were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company actions.

  • The insider purchases themselvesBullseveral insiders together, more buyers than usual here Bearsmall purchases, latest purchase is old2 checked, under the threshold · 3 missing
  • Share price and trading3 checked, under the threshold
  • Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
  • Company results1 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
  • Company actions1 missing

Bull case · the buying is informative

  • 5 insiders bought within 15 days (2026-05-04 to 2026-05-08). Several people reaching the same decision at the same time is hard to put down to one person's circumstances.Record: after 5,401 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.3%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
  • 5 insiders bought in the last 180 days against 1 in the 180 days before: more than this company's own recent norm.Record: after 3,134 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).

Bear case · discount it

  • Net purchases of €565k are <0.01% of the company's market value (€43.3bn): a visible sum, a small one against the business.
  • The latest purchase was 162 days ago (2026-05-08). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.

Evidence still missing

  • No buyer here has 5 or more completed earlier purchases on record, so there is no track record to weigh.
  • Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin 9.4%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
  • The next scheduled results are on 2026-10-28. They are the first hard test of either reading.
  • European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 5 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Kauf” does not rule one out.
  • The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 7
  • BearThe largest buyer accounts for 37% of the value bought. Counted for the bear side from 80%.
  • BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
  • BearThe share price changed −0.83% over six months (three months +8.1%, one month +1.2%) and stands 4.7% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
  • BearOver three months the share price changed +8.1% and the median of 176 Basic Materials companies changed +<0.01%: ahead by 8 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
  • BearPublished net short positions total 0.62% of the share capital across 1 named holder. Counted for the bear side from 2%.
  • BearProfit margin on the latest captured figures is 9.4%. Counted for the bear side when negative.
  • BearAbout €94.2M of the stock changes hands on an average day. Counted for the bear side below €500k.

Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.

Signal history

73.5 / 100

Latest recorded score

→ +0.0 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
Recorded snapshots
35
First snapshot
2026-08-26

Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.

Why did it change?

No score factor changed beyond rounding between the comparable snapshots.

Signal score history

Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.

02550751002026-08-26 · 73.52026-08-27 · 73.52026-08-28 · 73.52026-08-31 · 73.52026-09-01 · 73.52026-09-02 · 73.52026-09-03 · 73.52026-09-04 · 73.52026-09-07 · 73.52026-09-08 · 73.52026-09-09 · 73.52026-09-10 · 73.52026-09-11 · 73.52026-09-14 · 73.52026-09-23 · 73.52026-09-24 · 73.52026-09-25 · 73.52026-09-28 · 73.52026-09-29 · 73.52026-09-30 · 73.52026-10-01 · 73.52026-10-02 · 73.52026-10-03 · 73.52026-10-04 · 73.52026-10-05 · 73.52026-10-06 · 73.52026-10-07 · 73.52026-10-08 · 73.52026-10-09 · 73.52026-10-12 · 73.52026-10-13 · 73.52026-10-14 · 73.52026-10-15 · 73.52026-10-16 · 73.52026-10-18 · 73.5Aug 26Sep 07Sep 28Oct 07Oct 18

Recent recorded points

  1. 73.5
  2. 73.5
  3. 73.5
  4. 73.5
  5. 73.5
View all recorded scores
Snapshot dateSignal score
2026-08-2673.5
2026-08-2773.5
2026-08-2873.5
2026-08-3173.5
2026-09-0173.5
2026-09-0273.5
2026-09-0373.5
2026-09-0473.5
2026-09-0773.5
2026-09-0873.5
2026-09-0973.5
2026-09-1073.5
2026-09-1173.5
2026-09-1473.5
2026-09-2373.5
2026-09-2473.5
2026-09-2573.5
2026-09-2873.5
2026-09-2973.5
2026-09-3073.5
2026-10-0173.5
2026-10-0273.5
2026-10-0373.5
2026-10-0473.5
2026-10-0573.5
2026-10-0673.5
2026-10-0773.5
2026-10-0873.5
2026-10-0973.5
2026-10-1273.5
2026-10-1373.5
2026-10-1473.5
2026-10-1573.5
2026-10-1673.5
2026-10-1873.5

Sector context

Basic Materials

Buying breadth
7.0% (27 / 388 issuers)
Sector rank
#9 / 12
7D breadth change
-0.8 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
30D breadth change
History building

This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.

View Europe sector research →

Insider profile outcomes

Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.

Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.

Dirk ElvermannManagement Board Member (Vorstand) · Initial notification4 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D4Small sample100.0% (4/4)75.0% (3/4)+2.5%+2.3%-0.8%
20D4Small sample100.0% (4/4)25.0% (1/4)-4.6%-3.6%-9.7%
60D4Small sample100.0% (4/4)50.0% (2/4)+4.3%+2.0%-11.3%
120D3Small sample100.0% (3/3)33.3% (1/3)-2.8%-4.7%-18.2%
First purchase in 12M
0/4
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/4
Cluster buying · 15D
2/4
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
0/4
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable
Katja ScharpwinkelManagement Board Member (Vorstand) · Initial notification2 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D2Small sample100.0% (2/2)100.0% (2/2)+3.3%+3.3%+1.4%
20D2Small sample100.0% (2/2)0.0% (0/2)-6.0%-6.0%-7.4%
60D2Small sample100.0% (2/2)0.0% (0/2)-6.7%-6.7%-12.7%
120D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-2.8%-2.8%-2.8%
First purchase in 12M
0/1
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/2
Cluster buying · 15D
2/2
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
0/2
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable
Kurt BockSupervisory Board Member (Aufsichtsrat) · Initial notification2 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D2Small sample100.0% (2/2)100.0% (2/2)+2.5%+2.5%+1.4%
20D2Small sample100.0% (2/2)0.0% (0/2)-6.4%-6.4%-7.4%
60D2Small sample100.0% (2/2)0.0% (0/2)-6.8%-6.8%-12.7%
120D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-2.4%-2.4%-2.4%
First purchase in 12M
0/1
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/2
Cluster buying · 15D
2/2
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
0/2
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable

Market context

PRICE PERFORMANCE

1M
+1.2%
3M
+8.1%
6M
-0.8%
12M
+23.3%

VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY

Volatility
27.7%
Beta
0.75
Avg daily volume
€95.4M

VALUATION

Market cap
€43.3B
P/E
21.2×

FUNDAMENTALS

Profit margin
9.4%
ROE
6.1%
Industry
Chemicals

Prices to 15 Oct 2026: price cache (Yahoo Chart/risk profile). From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 15 Oct 2026: Market cap, P/E, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.

Disclosed net short positions

Disclosed total
0.62%
Named holders
1
Latest position date
30 Sep 2026
HolderNet short, % of issued share capitalPosition date
Millennium International Management LP0.62%30 Sep 2026

Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: Bundesanzeiger · read 18 Oct 2026

Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.

Insiders' buying price vs the latest close

Insiders paid 50.77 EUR a share on average (6 purchase lines, 6 buyers, 2025-10-30 – 2026-05-08). The close on 2026-10-14 was 3.3% above that price.

The latest purchase (2026-05-08) was at 50.91 EUR; the close was 3.0% above that price.

Prices paid are weighted by shares and taken from the filings; dividends are not counted. Not scored.

Buying size vs market trading

0.00% · of estimated traded value in the same period

2026-09-17 – 2026-10-14 · 20 recorded trading sessions

Disclosed qualifying purchases
0 EUR
Estimated market traded value
1,883,572,119 EUR

Market-data coverage: 512 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-14 · Ratio status: Available

Recent and largest purchase events / preceding 60-session ADTV

Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.

Latest news

News is reader context only; it does not change the score or inclusion.

Regulatory filings

Unfold all 7 filings

Filing evidence

These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.

Excluded transactions & classification

6 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 6 transaction line(s)

May 8, 2026Kauf
Dirk Elvermann · Vorstand b) Erstmeldung
Aktie · 900 shares × 50,91 EUR · 45.819,00 EUR
Open filing
May 4, 2026Kauf
Katja Scharpwinkel · Vorstand b) Erstmeldung
Aktie · 4000 shares × 52,79 EUR · 211.160,00 EUR
Open filing
May 4, 2026Kauf
Stephan Kothrade · Vorstand b) Erstmeldung
Aktie · 2000 shares × 53,9980 EUR · 107.996,00 EUR
Open filing
Unfold all 3 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeReported value (local currency)Source
2026-05-042026-05-05Stefan AsenkerschbaumerAufsichtsrat b) ErstmeldungKaufAktie53,6270 EUREUR1398.000174.970,55 EUROpen filing
2026-05-042026-05-05Kurt BockAufsichtsrat b) ErstmeldungKaufAktie53,6270 EUREUR2330124.950,91 EUROpen filing
2025-10-302025-10-31Michael HeinzVorstand b) ErstmeldungKaufAktie43,45 EUREUR3466150.597,70 EUROpen filing

Showing 6 of 6 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score

View 1 other transaction(s)

May 29, 2026Erbschaft
Stephan Kothrade · Vorstand b) Erstmeldung
Aktie · — shares × 0,00 EUR · 0,00 EUR
Open filing

Showing 1 of 1 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Snapshot & identity

Snapshot date
2026-10-18
Ticker
BAS.DE
ISIN
DE000BASF111
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Chemicals

Share this page

Save share image

The image states the stored facts and the snapshot date. It is not a recommendation.

Company logos by Parqet