Bull and bear lists

Many bull lines, few bear lines (91)

At least 3 bull lines and at most 1 bear line.

Many lines on both sides (103)

At least 3 bull lines and at least 3 bear lines: the stored facts disagree most here.

First 100 of 103 shown.

Insiders' buying reads bullish, independent evidence reads bearish (388)

At least one bull line on the purchases themselves, and at least one bear line from the share price, short sellers or company results. A thin market or a share issue the insiders joined does not count here.

First 100 of 388 shown.

Bear lines only (112)

No bull line and at least 4 bear lines: insiders bought, and every stored fact that fired argues for discounting it.

First 100 of 112 shown.

Companies whose lines changed since 2026-10-13 (590)

Compared with the reading stored for 2026-10-13.

First 100 of 590 shown.

What followed each kind of line in the past

From 2024-10-18 to 2026-07-24, each day on which a European company published an insider purchase is one disclosure (23,192 disclosures, 3,751 companies). For each one, the lines that applied that day were rebuilt from purchases already published, with the thresholds used on the company pages. The return is the stock's return over the next 60 trading sessions minus its local benchmark's. A line is compared with every disclosure it could be tested on in the same period, not with zero: most single stocks trail an index over any period (all disclosures: median −2.6%, 42% beat the benchmark).

Lines whose median differs from their comparable disclosures by 1 percentage point or more: associated persons buying (−1.6 pts). The other lines did not separate purchases that did well afterwards from purchases that did not.

One company on one day counts once. The 60-session windows of nearby disclosures overlap, so these are not independent samples. Lines that rest on filing wording, company size, short positions or profitability have no record, because those facts are not stored for past dates. “associated persons buying” can be tested only in markets whose filings mark associated persons. “price down over six months” is shown with the nearest stored case: a share price 20% or more below its prior 52-week high on the day of disclosure. A record describes the past and is not a forecast.

The same gap at other horizons and inside single markets

Gap between the line's median and its comparable disclosures, in percentage points. A gap that keeps its sign across horizons and markets is worth more than one that appears in a single cell. Share of all disclosures: Sweden 36%, UK 20%, France 15%, Germany 7%. A cell with fewer than 300 disclosures is left empty.

A line is a stored fact that crossed a fixed threshold; the rules are on every company page. The lists count lines. They do not weigh them, and a count is not a score or a forecast. Snapshot 2026-10-18; 1428 companies have a reading.