Stock Trading Canary

Snapshot date: 2026-10-18 · Built: 2026-10-19T15:33:29+00:00 · Publication status: PASS

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COMPANY RESEARCH

SOLVAY

SOLB.BR · Belgium · Basic Materials · Chemicals

INSIDER SIGNAL

Insider activity score:67.5 / 100

5 insiders · 5 purchase events · €176k net purchases

Europe #106 · Belgium #3

WHY THIS SIGNAL?

Score anatomy

Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.

Cluster+35.0 / 35

How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster

Purchase size+19.6 / 25

Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity

Role+17.1 / 20

The seniority and relevance of participating insiders

Recency+0.0 / 10

How recently the purchases occurred

Conviction+10.0 / 10

How clearly buying stands out from other activity

What is holding the score back?

  • ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
  • ✓ Broad buyer cluster · 4+ distinct filers
  • ✓ Strong insider role · ? involved

The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.

BUYING PROFILE

5 events · 5 insiders · 180d

Cluster 100%Repeat 0%Independent 0%Large 0%

Percentages are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%.

Buying concentration

30%

Largest buyer:Aebischer Thomas · 53k EUR
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value:176k EUR

The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.

This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.

Key purchase quotes (filing currency)

FilerPrice per unitTrade date
Kehren Philippe25.24 EURMay 20, 2026
Bonnefous Thierry25.61 EURMay 19, 2026
Aebischer Thomas26.59 EURMay 12, 2026
Model details

Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)

15-day buyer breadth (count)
5 distinct reported filers
Peak time window
2026-05-07 to 2026-05-20
Current breadth input
1.000 (capped at 4+ buyers)
Buyer independence
Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable

What the filings show

Insider vs stock price

5 purchase day(s), 5 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.

Daily close (EUR)Day with an insider purchase
242628May 2026JunJulAugSepOct2026-05-07 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day -6.6%2026-05-08 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day -4.9%2026-05-12 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day -6.6%2026-05-19 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day -1.3%2026-05-20 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day -0.6%24.98last close09 Oct

Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.

Insider timeline

5 insiders bought within 14 days, 7 May to 20 May: 5 Role not classified. The share closed at 26.74 on the first of those days and at 24.98 most recently (−6.6%). That week 241 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, more than in 88% of the last 26 weeks: insiders often buy together when a closed period ends, so the timing alone says less than it seems.

Several insiders within 15 days: 2026-05-07 – 2026-05-20Thibaut de Maisières AudeThibaut de Maisières AudeMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyRole not classifiedOudeman Maria JohannaOudeman Maria JohannaMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyRole not classifiedAebischer ThomasAebischer ThomasMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyRole not classifiedBonnefous ThierryBonnefous ThierryMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyRole not classifiedKehren PhilippeKehren PhilippeMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyRole not classified2026-05-07 · Thibaut de Maisières Aude · purchase · 39,690 EUR2026-05-08 · Oudeman Maria Johanna · purchase · 19,950 EUR2026-05-12 · Aebischer Thomas · purchase · 53,180 EUR2026-05-19 · Bonnefous Thierry · purchase · 12,805 EUR2026-05-20 · Kehren Philippe · purchase · 50,480 EUR2026-04-20 to 2026-04-26: 136 companies2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03: 203 companies2026-05-04 to 2026-05-10: 241 companies2026-05-11 to 2026-05-17: 211 companies2026-05-18 to 2026-05-24: 244 companies2026-05-25 to 2026-05-31: 237 companies2026-06-01 to 2026-06-07: 243 companies2026-06-08 to 2026-06-14: 237 companies2026-06-15 to 2026-06-21: 211 companies2026-06-22 to 2026-06-28: 185 companies2026-06-29 to 2026-07-05: 192 companies2026-07-06 to 2026-07-12: 160 companies2026-07-13 to 2026-07-19: 181 companies2026-07-20 to 2026-07-26: 167 companies2026-07-27 to 2026-08-02: 160 companies2026-08-03 to 2026-08-09: 152 companies2026-08-10 to 2026-08-16: 164 companies2026-08-17 to 2026-08-23: 194 companies2026-08-24 to 2026-08-30: 182 companies2026-08-31 to 2026-09-06: 188 companies2026-09-07 to 2026-09-13: 178 companies2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: 173 companies2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27: 179 companies2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04: 183 companies2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11: 166 companies2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18: 138 companiesCompanies disclosing purchases, per weekMayJunJulAugSepOct

Tap an item for what it means.

●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought

Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.

▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days

The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 7 May – 20 May, with 5 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.

Blue line: this share's price, −8.7% over these six months

The closing price of each day, from 27.36 on 2026-04-21 to 24.98 on 2026-10-09. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.

Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, −10.5%

Taken from the 31 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share −8.7%, the typical one −10.5%, 1.8 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.

▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week

A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 241 companies, number 3 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.

This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months

1Nov
Dec
1Jan
Feb
5Mar
Apr
5May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct

Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.

Who traded

InsiderRolePurchasesSalesBoughtFirst purchaseShare price sinceEarlier purchases
Thibaut de Maisières AudeRole not classified1—39.7k EUR2026-05-07−6.6%fewer than 5 completed
Oudeman Maria JohannaRole not classified1—19.9k EUR2026-05-08−4.9%fewer than 5 completed
Aebischer ThomasRole not classified1—53.2k EUR2026-05-12−6.6%fewer than 5 completed
Bonnefous ThierryRole not classified1—12.8k EUR2026-05-19−1.3%fewer than 5 completed
Kehren PhilippeRole not classified1—50.5k EUR2026-05-20−0.6%6 completed, median −5.3% against peers after 60 sessions
Why this score? · Model details

Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)

FactorWeightThis company inputPoint contribution
15-day buyer breadth (count)35%1.00035.0
Qualified-buy size25%0.78319.6
Role informativeness (inverted)20%0.146; source unavailable, filled with a cohort-neutral value2.9
Recency10%0.0000.0
Buy/sell conviction10%1.00010.0

This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.

BULL VS BEAR

Two readings of this buying

The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.

Since 2026-10-13, neither column has changed. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →

Where the evidence comes from

Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (several insiders together); share price and trading, short sellers, company results were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company actions.

  • The insider purchases themselvesBullseveral insiders together Bearsmall purchases, latest purchase is old, usual level for this company, buyer's past purchases trailed the benchmark3 checked, under the threshold · 2 missing
  • Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
  • Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
  • Company results1 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
  • Company actionsno data held

Bull case · the buying is informative

  • 5 insiders bought within 15 days (2026-05-07 to 2026-05-20). Several people reaching the same decision at the same time is hard to put down to one person's circumstances.Record: after 5,401 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.3%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).

Bear case · discount it

  • Net purchases of €176k are <0.01% of the company's market value (€2.6bn): a visible sum, a small one against the business.
  • The latest purchase was 150 days ago (2026-05-20). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.
  • Buying at this level is normal here: 6 insiders bought in the previous 180 days and 5 in this one.Record: after 2,869 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.6%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
  • The 6 earlier purchases by Kehren Philippe trailed BEL 20 by a median 5.3% over the following 60 trading days.

Evidence still missing

  • Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin 0.09%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
  • European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 5 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Purchase / Acquisition” does not rule one out.
  • The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 7
  • BearThe largest buyer accounts for 30% of the value bought. Counted for the bear side from 80%.
  • Bear0 of 5 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
  • BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
  • BearThe share price changed −8.8% over six months (three months −4.9%, one month −4.1%) and stands 16% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
  • BearOver three months the share price changed −4.9% and the median of 176 Basic Materials companies changed +<0.01%: behind by 5 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
  • BearPublished net short positions total 1.39% of the share capital across 2 named holders. Counted for the bear side from 2%.
  • BearProfit margin on the latest captured figures is 0.09%. Counted for the bear side when negative.

Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.

Signal history

67.5 / 100

Latest recorded score

→ +0.0 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
Recorded snapshots
32
First snapshot
2026-08-31

Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.

Why did it change?

No score factor changed beyond rounding between the comparable snapshots.

Signal score history

Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.

02550751002026-08-31 · 66.22026-09-01 · 66.22026-09-02 · 66.22026-09-03 · 66.22026-09-04 · 66.22026-09-07 · 66.02026-09-08 · 66.02026-09-09 · 67.52026-09-10 · 67.52026-09-11 · 67.52026-09-14 · 67.52026-09-23 · 67.52026-09-24 · 67.52026-09-25 · 67.52026-09-28 · 67.52026-09-29 · 67.52026-09-30 · 67.52026-10-01 · 67.52026-10-02 · 67.52026-10-03 · 67.52026-10-04 · 67.52026-10-05 · 67.52026-10-06 · 67.52026-10-07 · 67.52026-10-08 · 67.52026-10-09 · 67.52026-10-12 · 67.52026-10-13 · 67.52026-10-14 · 67.52026-10-15 · 67.52026-10-16 · 67.52026-10-18 · 67.5Aug 31Sep 10Sep 30Oct 07Oct 18

Recent recorded points

  1. 66.2
  2. 67.5
  3. 67.5
  4. 67.5
  5. 67.5
View all recorded scores
Snapshot dateSignal score
2026-08-3166.2
2026-09-0166.2
2026-09-0266.2
2026-09-0366.2
2026-09-0466.2
2026-09-0766.0
2026-09-0866.0
2026-09-0967.5
2026-09-1067.5
2026-09-1167.5
2026-09-1467.5
2026-09-2367.5
2026-09-2467.5
2026-09-2567.5
2026-09-2867.5
2026-09-2967.5
2026-09-3067.5
2026-10-0167.5
2026-10-0267.5
2026-10-0367.5
2026-10-0467.5
2026-10-0567.5
2026-10-0667.5
2026-10-0767.5
2026-10-0867.5
2026-10-0967.5
2026-10-1267.5
2026-10-1367.5
2026-10-1467.5
2026-10-1567.5
2026-10-1667.5
2026-10-1867.5

Sector context

Basic Materials

Buying breadth
7.0% (27 / 388 issuers)
Sector rank
#9 / 12
7D breadth change
-0.8 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
30D breadth change
History building

This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.

View Europe sector research →

Insider profile outcomes

Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.

Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.

Kehren PhilippeMember of administrative management or supervisory body | Senior executive6 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)16.7% (1/6)-2.8%-2.0%-3.4%
20D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)50.0% (3/6)-0.3%-0.3%-3.7%
60D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)0.0% (0/6)-5.3%-5.5%-12.6%
120D5Developing evidence100.0% (5/5)0.0% (0/5)-10.2%-13.9%-23.1%
First purchase in 12M
0/5
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/2
Cluster buying · 15D
5/6
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
1/6
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable
van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executive6 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)33.3% (2/6)-3.1%-1.3%-5.3%
20D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)33.3% (2/6)-1.2%-0.7%-9.2%
60D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)0.0% (0/6)-6.8%-6.2%-10.8%
120D6Developing evidence100.0% (6/6)16.7% (1/6)-10.3%-9.6%-24.7%
First purchase in 12M
0/5
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/1
Cluster buying · 15D
5/6
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
3/6
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable
Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executive5 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D5Developing evidence100.0% (5/5)20.0% (1/5)-3.4%-2.8%-5.3%
20D5Developing evidence100.0% (5/5)20.0% (1/5)-1.2%-2.0%-9.2%
60D5Developing evidence100.0% (5/5)0.0% (0/5)-6.8%-5.8%-10.8%
120D5Developing evidence100.0% (5/5)0.0% (0/5)-10.4%-12.4%-24.7%
First purchase in 12M
0/4
Large purchase ≥ €100k
Not classifiable
Cluster buying · 15D
5/5
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
2/5
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable

Market context

PRICE PERFORMANCE

1M
-4.1%
3M
-4.9%
6M
-8.8%
12M
-7.8%

VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY

Volatility
26.7%
Beta
0.25
Avg daily volume
€5.0M

VALUATION

Market cap
€2.6B
P/E
822.0×

FUNDAMENTALS

Profit margin
0.1%
ROE
0.8%
Industry
Chemicals

Prices to 12 Oct 2026: price cache (Eulerpool). From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 12 Oct 2026: Market cap, P/E, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.

Disclosed net short positions

Disclosed total
1.39%
Named holders
2
Latest position date
01 Jul 2026
HolderNet short, % of issued share capitalPosition date
GLADSTONE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLP0.70%01 Jul 2026
DAVIDSON KEMPNER EUROPEAN PARTNERS, LLP0.69%13 Apr 2026

Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: FSMA · read 18 Oct 2026

Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.

Insiders' buying price vs the latest close

The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.

Buying size vs market trading

Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.

Market-data coverage: 255 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-09 · Ratio status: Unavailable

Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.

Latest news

No news has been captured for this company.

Regulatory filings

The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.

Filing evidence

These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.

Excluded transactions & classification

23 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 23 transaction line(s)

May 20, 2026Purchase / Acquisition
Kehren Philippe · Member of administrative management or supervisory body
Share · 2000 shares × 25.24 EUR · —
May 19, 2026Purchase / Acquisition
Bonnefous Thierry · Member of administrative management or supervisory body
Share · 500 shares × 25.61 EUR · —
May 12, 2026Purchase / Acquisition
Aebischer Thomas · Member of administrative management or supervisory body
Share · 2000 shares × 26.59 EUR · —
Unfold all 20 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeSource
2026-05-082026-05-13Oudeman Maria JohannaMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyPurchase / AcquisitionShare26.60 EUREUR750—
2026-05-072026-05-08Thibaut de Maisières AudeMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyPurchase / AcquisitionShare26.46 EUREUR1500—
2026-03-302026-03-31Brown J. LisaSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR5094—
2026-03-302026-03-31Brown J. LisaSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR11886—
2026-03-282026-03-30Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR5495—
2026-03-282026-03-30Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR12820—
2026-03-272026-04-07Kehren PhilippeSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR11224—
2026-03-272026-04-07Kehren PhilippeSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR26188—
2026-03-272026-03-30van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR5266—
2026-03-272026-03-30van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR12286—
2026-03-122026-03-13Blum AlexandreSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR260—
2026-03-122026-03-13Kehren PhilippeSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR554—
2026-03-122026-03-13Brown J. LisaSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR554—
2026-03-122026-03-13van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR554—
2026-03-122026-03-13Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR260—
2026-03-032026-03-11van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR4311—
2026-03-032026-03-11Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR2357—
2026-03-032026-03-11Blum AlexandreSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare0.00 EUREUR2357—
2026-01-212026-01-22Bonte YvesMember of administrative management or supervisory bodyPurchase / AcquisitionShare24.90 EUREUR1000—
2025-11-062025-11-06van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executivePurchase / AcquisitionShare25.00 EUREUR2000—

Showing 23 of 23 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score

View 9 other transaction(s)

Mar 12, 2026Sale / Disposal
van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus Lambertus · Senior executive
Share · 270 shares × 26.25 EUR · —
Mar 12, 2026Sale / Disposal
Blum Alexandre · Senior executive
Share · 121 shares × 26.25 EUR · —
Mar 12, 2026Sale / Disposal
Kehren Philippe · Senior executive
Share · 132 shares × 26.25 EUR · —
Unfold all 6 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeSource
2026-03-122026-03-13Brown J. LisaSenior executiveSale / DisposalShare26.25 EUREUR292—
2026-03-122026-03-13Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executiveSale / DisposalShare26.25 EUREUR138—
2026-03-032026-03-11Blum AlexandreSenior executiveSale / DisposalShare25.48 EUREUR1150—
2026-03-032026-03-11Duvall Lanny ReidSenior executiveSale / DisposalShare25.48 EUREUR1309—
2026-03-032026-03-11van Bijsterveld Markus Jacobus LambertusSenior executiveSale / DisposalShare25.48 EUREUR2582—
2026-03-032026-03-11Brown J. LisaSenior executiveSale / DisposalShare25.48 EUREUR2393—

Showing 9 of 9 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Snapshot & identity

Snapshot date
2026-10-18
Ticker
SOLB.BR
ISIN
BE0003470755
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Chemicals

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