| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 15Developing evidence | 100.0% (15/15) | 60.0% (9/15) | +3.9% | +1.5% | -16.3% |
| 20D | 14Developing evidence | 100.0% (14/14) | 71.4% (10/14) | +6.9% | +8.2% | -16.3% |
| 60D | 14Developing evidence | 100.0% (14/14) | 64.3% (9/14) | +5.0% | +10.3% | -18.1% |
| 120D | 9Developing evidence | 100.0% (9/9) | 55.6% (5/9) | +8.4% | +18.6% | -34.1% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
Rheinmetall Aktiengesellschaft
RHM.DE · Germany · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：62.7 / 100
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Insider vs stock price
No daily prices and volumes have been captured for this stock yet.
Insider timeline
The current window holds no filing with a trade date.
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.600 | 21.0 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.847 | 21.2 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.350 | 7.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.354 | 3.5 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 1.000 | 10.0 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
The purchases themselves carry no bull line, and share price and trading argue against (price down over six months); short sellers argue against (published short positions). No data is held for: company results, company actions.
- The insider purchases themselves3 checked, under the threshold
- Share price and tradingBearprice down over six months1 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellersBearpublished short positions
- Company results2 missing
- Company actionsno data held
Bull case · the buying is informative
Nothing held here goes beyond the fact that an insider bought.
Bear case · discount it
- Share price and tradingThe share price is down 35% over six months (three months −5.9%, one month −6.6%). Insiders have bought into a fall the market has not reversed.Record (nearest stored case: price 20% or more below its prior 52-week high): after 11,077 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.2%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.6%).
- Short sellersDisclosed net short positions total 2.20% of the share capital across 3 named holders: other professional investors are positioned the opposite way.
Evidence still missing
- The company's market value is not captured, so the purchases cannot be stated as a share of the business or of its trading volume.
- No earnings, margin or cash-flow figures are captured for this company. The latest annual and interim reports are where to check whether the business is improving or deteriorating.
Checked and under the threshold: 4, 1 close to it
- EitherThe latest purchase is 15 days old. Bull up to 14 days, bear from 90. close to the threshold
- EitherNet purchases of €471k in 180 days. Bull from €1.0M, bear when all purchases total under €25k.
- BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
- BearOver three months the share price changed −5.9% and the median of 462 Industrials companies changed −0.32%: behind by 6 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
62.7 / 100
Latest recorded score
↑ +5.2 ptssince the first recorded snapshot on 2026-09-29; 19 calendar days observed
- Recorded snapshots
- 17
- First snapshot
- 2026-09-29
There is not yet a 30-calendar-day comparison; earlier scores are not reconstructed. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Less than 30 days of comparable history is available, so factor movement is not yet decomposed.
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 57.5
- 69.2
- 66.2
- 63.8
- 62.7
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 57.5 |
| 2026-09-30 | 56.9 |
| 2026-10-01 | 56.2 |
| 2026-10-02 | 69.2 |
| 2026-10-03 | 69.2 |
| 2026-10-04 | 69.2 |
| 2026-10-05 | 67.3 |
| 2026-10-06 | 66.7 |
| 2026-10-07 | 66.2 |
| 2026-10-08 | 65.8 |
| 2026-10-09 | 65.3 |
| 2026-10-12 | 64.2 |
| 2026-10-13 | 63.8 |
| 2026-10-14 | 63.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | 63.2 |
| 2026-10-16 | 63.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | 62.7 |
Why there is no buy signal
No qualifying open-market purchase disclosure is available in the current research window. This is not a sell signal.
The underlying disclosures remain available below for audit.
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 7.5% (79 / 1,047 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #8 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- -0.3 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − DAX return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 0.0% (0/5) | -2.0% | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| 20D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 100.0% (5/5) | +19.0% | +19.0% | +19.0% |
| 60D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 100.0% (5/5) | +6.0% | +6.0% | +6.0% |
| 120D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 0.0% (0/5) | -21.6% | -21.6% | -21.6% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 75.0% (3/4) | +4.4% | +5.6% | -1.3% |
| 20D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 66.7% (2/3) | +4.8% | +0.0% | -12.7% |
| 60D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 33.3% (1/3) | -7.5% | -5.2% | -12.2% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -43.4% | -43.4% | -43.4% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 48.0%
- Beta
- —
- Avg daily volume
- €181.0M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- —
- P/E
- —
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- —
- ROE
- —
- Industry
- —
Prices to 06 Oct 2026: price cache (Yahoo Chart/risk profile). It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
- Disclosed total
- 2.20%
- Named holders
- 3
- Latest position date
- 13 Oct 2026
| Holder | Net short, % of issued share capital | Position date |
|---|---|---|
| Capital Fund Management SA | 1.09% | 13 Oct 2026 |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 0.59% | 13 Oct 2026 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., L.P. | 0.52% | 07 Oct 2026 |
Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: Bundesanzeiger · read 18 Oct 2026
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
No qualifying purchase was filed in this period.
Buying size vs market trading
No daily prices and volumes have been captured for this stock yet.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
The underlying filing feed is unavailable in this snapshot; this is not a claim that no filings exist.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
The underlying filing feed is unavailable in this snapshot; this is not a claim that no filings exist.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-18
- Ticker
- RHM.DE
- ISIN
- DE0007030009
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense