Stock Trading Canary

Snapshot date: 2026-10-18 · Built: 2026-10-19T15:20:02+00:00 · Publication status: PASS

← Europe ranking · 中文

COMPANY RESEARCH

IPSOS

IPS.PA · France · Industrials · Consulting Services

INSIDER SIGNAL

Insider activity score:42.5 / 100

0 insiders · 0 purchase events · €37k net purchases

Europe #1037 · France #95

WHY THIS SIGNAL?

Score anatomy

Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.

Cluster+10.5 / 35

How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster

Purchase size+17.0 / 25

Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity

Role+15.0 / 20

The seniority and relevance of participating insiders

Recency+0.0 / 10

How recently the purchases occurred

Conviction+10.0 / 10

How clearly buying stands out from other activity

What is holding the score back?

  • ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
  • ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
  • ✓ Strong insider role · c-suite involved

The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.

BUYING PROFILE

How qualifying purchases are distributed across clustering, repetition, participation and size.

No qualifying open-market purchases in the current 180-day window.

Buying concentration

Not worked out: the scoring window holds no qualifying purchase filing, or the purchases are reported in more than one currency.

This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.

Key purchase quotes (filing currency)

FilerPrice per unitTrade date
Model details

Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)

Not measured: the scoring window holds no purchase filing with both a buyer name and a trade date.

What the filings show

Insider vs stock price

No daily prices and volumes have been captured for this stock yet.

Insider timeline

The current window holds no filing with a trade date.

Why this score? · Model details

Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)

FactorWeightThis company inputPoint contribution
15-day buyer breadth (count)35%0.30010.5
Qualified-buy size25%0.68117.0
Role informativeness (inverted)20%0.2505.0
Recency10%0.0000.0
Buy/sell conviction10%1.00010.0

This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.

BULL VS BEAR

Two readings of this buying

The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.

Since 2026-10-13, neither column has changed. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →

Where the evidence comes from

Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (senior executive buying); share price and trading, short sellers, company results were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company actions.

  • The insider purchases themselvesBullsenior executive buying Bearone buyer only, small purchases, latest purchase is old1 checked, under the threshold
  • Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
  • Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
  • Company results1 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
  • Company actionsno data held

Bull case · the buying is informative

  • The buyers include a senior executive, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,797 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).

Bear case · discount it

  • Only one insider bought. A single purchase can reflect that person's own finances rather than a view on the company.Record: after 4,732 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
  • Net purchases of €37k are <0.01% of the company's market value (€1.5bn): a visible sum, a small one against the business.
  • The latest purchase was 180 days ago (2026-04-20). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.

Evidence still missing

  • Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin 6.9%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
Checked and under the threshold: 5
  • BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
  • BearThe share price changed +4.8% over six months (three months +3.5%, one month −11%) and stands 18% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
  • BearOver three months the share price changed +3.5% and the median of 462 Industrials companies changed −0.32%: ahead by 4 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
  • BearThe register of AMF shows no published net short position in this company. Positions under 0.5% are never published, so this does not show that nobody is short.
  • BearProfit margin on the latest captured figures is 6.9%. Counted for the bear side when negative.

Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.

Signal history

42.5 / 100

Latest recorded score

→ +0.0 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
Recorded snapshots
35
First snapshot
2026-08-26

Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.

Why did it change?

No score factor changed beyond rounding between the comparable snapshots.

Signal score history

Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.

02550751002026-08-26 · 40.72026-08-27 · 42.52026-08-28 · 42.52026-08-31 · 42.52026-09-01 · 42.52026-09-02 · 42.52026-09-03 · 42.52026-09-04 · 42.52026-09-07 · 42.52026-09-08 · 42.52026-09-09 · 42.52026-09-10 · 42.52026-09-11 · 42.52026-09-14 · 42.52026-09-23 · 42.52026-09-24 · 42.52026-09-25 · 42.52026-09-28 · 42.52026-09-29 · 42.52026-09-30 · 42.52026-10-01 · 42.52026-10-02 · 42.52026-10-03 · 42.52026-10-04 · 42.52026-10-05 · 42.52026-10-06 · 42.52026-10-07 · 42.52026-10-08 · 42.52026-10-09 · 42.52026-10-12 · 42.52026-10-13 · 42.52026-10-14 · 42.52026-10-15 · 42.52026-10-16 · 42.52026-10-18 · 42.5Aug 26Sep 07Sep 28Oct 07Oct 18

Recent recorded points

  1. 40.7
  2. 42.5
  3. 42.5
  4. 42.5
  5. 42.5
View all recorded scores
Snapshot dateSignal score
2026-08-2640.7
2026-08-2742.5
2026-08-2842.5
2026-08-3142.5
2026-09-0142.5
2026-09-0242.5
2026-09-0342.5
2026-09-0442.5
2026-09-0742.5
2026-09-0842.5
2026-09-0942.5
2026-09-1042.5
2026-09-1142.5
2026-09-1442.5
2026-09-2342.5
2026-09-2442.5
2026-09-2542.5
2026-09-2842.5
2026-09-2942.5
2026-09-3042.5
2026-10-0142.5
2026-10-0242.5
2026-10-0342.5
2026-10-0442.5
2026-10-0542.5
2026-10-0642.5
2026-10-0742.5
2026-10-0842.5
2026-10-0942.5
2026-10-1242.5
2026-10-1342.5
2026-10-1442.5
2026-10-1542.5
2026-10-1642.5
2026-10-1842.5

Why there is no buy signal

Filings exist, but they are sales, derivative or option instruments, option exercises, grants, tax withholding, gifts, or transfers rather than qualifying equity purchases, so they are excluded from scoring.

The underlying disclosures remain available below for audit.

Sector context

Industrials

Buying breadth
7.5% (79 / 1,047 issuers)
Sector rank
#8 / 12
7D breadth change
-0.3 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
30D breadth change
History building

This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.

View Europe sector research →

Insider profile outcomes

Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.

Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.

Anne-Marie CoudercMembre du Conseil d'administration1 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-4.0%-4.0%-4.0%
20D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-14.2%-14.2%-14.2%
60D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-14.1%-14.1%-14.1%
120D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-8.5%-8.5%-8.5%
First purchase in 12M
1/1
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/1
Cluster buying · 15D
0/1
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
1/1
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable
Armelle Carminati-RabasseAdministrateur1 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)100.0% (1/1)+1.5%+1.5%+1.5%
20D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)100.0% (1/1)+2.7%+2.7%+2.7%
60D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-14.7%-14.7%-14.7%
120D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)0.0% (0/1)-28.5%-28.5%-28.5%
First purchase in 12M
Not classifiable
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/1
Cluster buying · 15D
0/1
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
1/1
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable
Olivier ChampourlierMembre du Comité Exécutif1 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)100.0% (1/1)+5.1%+5.1%+5.1%
20D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)100.0% (1/1)+6.4%+6.4%+6.4%
60D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)100.0% (1/1)+6.8%+6.8%+6.8%
120D1Small sample100.0% (1/1)100.0% (1/1)+11.4%+11.4%+11.4%
First purchase in 12M
1/1
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/1
Cluster buying · 15D
0/1
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
1/1
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable

Market context

PRICE PERFORMANCE

1M
-10.6%
3M
+3.5%
6M
+4.8%
12M
-4.9%

VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY

Volatility
37.7%
Beta
0.64
Avg daily volume
€3.3M

VALUATION

Market cap
€1.5B
P/E
8.8×

FUNDAMENTALS

Profit margin
6.9%
ROE
11.9%
Industry
Consulting Services

Prices to 28 Sep 2026: OpenBB/yfinance. From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 28 Sep 2026: Market cap, P/E, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.

Disclosed net short positions

The AMF register, read 18 Oct 2026, publishes no net short position of 0.5% or more in this issuer. Positions below 0.5% are never published, so this is not evidence that nobody is short.

Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.

Insiders' buying price vs the latest close

The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.

Buying size vs market trading

Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.

Market-data coverage: 249 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-07 · Ratio status: Unavailable

Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.

Latest news

No news has been captured for this company.

Regulatory filings

The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.

Filing evidence

These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.

Excluded transactions & classification

1 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 1 transaction line(s)

Apr 20, 2026Acquisition
Olivier Champourlier · Membre du Comité Exécutif
Action · 1100.0000 shares × 33.2000 EUR · —

Showing 1 of 1 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score

View 1 other transaction(s)

May 16, 2026Acquisition définitive d'actions gratuites (livraison)
Olivier Champourlier · Membre du Comité Exécutif
Action · 1200.0000 shares × 36.4800 EUR · —

Showing 1 of 1 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Snapshot & identity

Snapshot date
2026-10-18
Ticker
IPS.PA
ISIN
FR0000073298
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Consulting Services

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