Stock Trading Canary

Snapshot date: 2026-10-18 · Built: 2026-10-19T15:24:33+00:00 · Publication status: PASS

← Europe ranking · 中文

COMPANY RESEARCH

FirstGroup plc

FGP.L · United Kingdom · Industrials · Railroads

INSIDER SIGNAL

Insider activity score:41.9 / 100

1 insiders · 6 purchase events · €1k net purchases

Europe #1073 · United Kingdom #306

WHY THIS SIGNAL?

Score anatomy

Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.

Cluster+10.5 / 35

How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster

Purchase size+11.3 / 25

Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity

Role+18.0 / 20

The seniority and relevance of participating insiders

Recency+8.1 / 10

How recently the purchases occurred

Conviction+10.0 / 10

How clearly buying stands out from other activity

What is holding the score back?

  • ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
  • ⚠ Purchase size is modest relative to the model scale
  • ✓ Strong insider role · cfo involved
  • ✓ Recent activity · latest purchase 2026-10-14

The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.

BUYING PROFILE

6 events · 1 insiders · 180d

Cluster 0%Repeat 100%Independent 0%Large 0%

Percentages are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%.

Buying concentration

100%

Largest buyer:Ryan Mangold · 900 GBP
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value:900 GBP

The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.

This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.

Key purchase quotes (filing currency)

FilerPrice per unitTrade date
Ryan Mangold1.975 GBPOct 14, 2026
Ryan Mangold1.7015 GBPSep 10, 2026
Ryan Mangold1.68994 GBPJun 10, 2026
Model details

Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)

15-day buyer breadth (count)
1 distinct reported filers
Peak time window
2026-05-11 to 2026-05-11
Current breadth input
0.300 (capped at 4+ buyers)
Buyer independence
Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable

What the filings show

Insider vs stock price

6 purchase day(s), 6 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.

Daily close (GBp)Day with an insider purchase
160170180190May 2026JunJulAugSepOct2026-05-11 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +12.7%2026-06-10 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +13.0%2026-07-10 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +3.3%2026-08-10 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +1.2%2026-09-10 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +11.0%2026-10-07 · 1 purchase line(s) · 1 insider(s) · close since that day +0.0%186.60last close07 Oct

Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.

Insider timeline

One insider bought, 6 times, the latest (14 Oct).

Ryan MangoldRyan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerCFO2026-05-11 · Ryan Mangold · purchase · 150 GBP2026-06-10 · Ryan Mangold · purchase · 150 GBP2026-07-10 · Ryan Mangold · purchase · 150 GBP2026-08-10 · Ryan Mangold · purchase · 150 GBP2026-09-10 · Ryan Mangold · purchase · 150 GBP2026-10-14 · Ryan Mangold · purchase · 150 GBP2026-04-20 to 2026-04-26: 136 companies2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03: 203 companies2026-05-04 to 2026-05-10: 241 companies2026-05-11 to 2026-05-17: 211 companies2026-05-18 to 2026-05-24: 244 companies2026-05-25 to 2026-05-31: 237 companies2026-06-01 to 2026-06-07: 243 companies2026-06-08 to 2026-06-14: 237 companies2026-06-15 to 2026-06-21: 211 companies2026-06-22 to 2026-06-28: 185 companies2026-06-29 to 2026-07-05: 192 companies2026-07-06 to 2026-07-12: 160 companies2026-07-13 to 2026-07-19: 181 companies2026-07-20 to 2026-07-26: 167 companies2026-07-27 to 2026-08-02: 160 companies2026-08-03 to 2026-08-09: 152 companies2026-08-10 to 2026-08-16: 164 companies2026-08-17 to 2026-08-23: 194 companies2026-08-24 to 2026-08-30: 182 companies2026-08-31 to 2026-09-06: 188 companies2026-09-07 to 2026-09-13: 178 companies2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: 173 companies2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27: 179 companies2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04: 183 companies2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11: 166 companies2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18: 138 companiesCompanies disclosing purchases, per weekMayJunJulAugSepOct

Tap an item for what it means.

●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought

Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.

Blue line: this share's price, +5.1% over these six months

The closing price of each day, from 177.50 on 2026-04-21 to 186.60 on 2026-10-07. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.

Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, +2.3%

Taken from the 491 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share +5.1%, the typical one +2.3%, 2.8 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.

▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week

A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases.

This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months

1Nov
1Dec
1Jan
1Feb
1Mar
1Apr
1May
1Jun
1Jul
1Aug
1Sep
1Oct

Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.

Who traded

InsiderRolePurchasesSalesBoughtFirst purchaseShare price sinceEarlier purchases
Ryan MangoldCFO6—900 GBP2026-05-11+12.7%15 completed, median −9.0% against peers after 60 sessions
Why this score? · Model details

Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)

FactorWeightThis company inputPoint contribution
15-day buyer breadth (count)35%0.30010.5
Qualified-buy size25%0.45211.3
Role informativeness (inverted)20%0.1002.0
Recency10%0.8128.1
Buy/sell conviction10%1.00010.0

This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.

BULL VS BEAR

Two readings of this buying

The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.

Since 2026-10-13: new on the bear side: small purchases; no longer on the bear side: published short positions. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →

Where the evidence comes from

  • The insider purchases themselvesBearplan, dividend or pay wording, one buyer only, small purchases, buyer's past purchases trailed the benchmark3 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
  • Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
  • Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
  • Company results2 missing
  • Company actionsno data held

Bull case · the buying is informative

Every purchase line here follows a plan, a dividend or pay terms, so nothing held supports reading the buying as a decision.

Bear case · discount it

  • 6 of 6 purchase lines are worded as an employee share plan, for example “Purchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIP”. Purchases of that kind follow a schedule or an entitlement, not a decision made now.
  • Only one insider bought. A single purchase can reflect that person's own finances rather than a view on the company.Record: after 4,732 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
  • All purchases in the window total €1,067: a small commitment in absolute terms.
  • The 15 earlier purchases by Ryan Mangold trailed FTSE 100 by a median 9.0% over the following 60 trading days.

Evidence still missing

  • The company's market value is not captured, so the purchases cannot be stated as a share of the business or of its trading volume.
  • No earnings, margin or cash-flow figures are captured for this company. The latest annual and interim reports are where to check whether the business is improving or deteriorating.
  • The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 6, 1 close to it
  • BearPublished net short positions total 1.87% of the share capital. Counted for the bear side from 2%. On 2026-10-02 it was 1.76%: up 0.11 points since. close to the threshold
  • Either1 insider bought in the last 180 days and 1 in the 180 days before. Bull when the number at least doubles and rises by two; bear when at least two bought before and no more buy now.
  • Bear0 of 1 buyer filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
  • BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
  • BearThe share price changed +6.4% over six months (three months +5.2%, one month +8.1%). Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
  • BearOver three months the share price changed +5.2% and the median of 462 Industrials companies changed −0.32%: ahead by 6 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.

Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.

Signal history

41.9 / 100

Latest recorded score

↑ +0.5 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
Recorded snapshots
35
First snapshot
2026-08-26

Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.

Why did it change?

Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.

  • Recency+0.5 pts

Signal score history

Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.

02550751002026-08-26 · 34.62026-08-27 · 34.62026-08-28 · 36.62026-08-31 · 36.12026-09-01 · 36.02026-09-02 · 35.82026-09-03 · 35.72026-09-04 · 35.52026-09-07 · 34.92026-09-08 · 34.82026-09-09 · 34.72026-09-10 · 34.62026-09-11 · 34.62026-09-14 · 41.42026-09-23 · 37.82026-09-24 · 37.62026-09-25 · 37.32026-09-28 · 36.62026-09-29 · 36.52026-09-30 · 36.32026-10-01 · 36.12026-10-02 · 36.02026-10-03 · 36.02026-10-04 · 36.02026-10-05 · 35.62026-10-06 · 35.42026-10-07 · 35.32026-10-08 · 34.92026-10-09 · 34.82026-10-12 · 34.62026-10-13 · 34.52026-10-14 · 34.52026-10-15 · 34.42026-10-16 · 42.52026-10-18 · 41.9Aug 26Sep 07Sep 28Oct 07Oct 18

Recent recorded points

  1. 34.6
  2. 34.9
  3. 36.6
  4. 35.3
  5. 41.9
View all recorded scores
Snapshot dateSignal score
2026-08-2634.6
2026-08-2734.6
2026-08-2836.6
2026-08-3136.1
2026-09-0136.0
2026-09-0235.8
2026-09-0335.7
2026-09-0435.5
2026-09-0734.9
2026-09-0834.8
2026-09-0934.7
2026-09-1034.6
2026-09-1134.6
2026-09-1441.4
2026-09-2337.8
2026-09-2437.6
2026-09-2537.3
2026-09-2836.6
2026-09-2936.5
2026-09-3036.3
2026-10-0136.1
2026-10-0236.0
2026-10-0336.0
2026-10-0436.0
2026-10-0535.6
2026-10-0635.4
2026-10-0735.3
2026-10-0834.9
2026-10-0934.8
2026-10-1234.6
2026-10-1334.5
2026-10-1434.5
2026-10-1534.4
2026-10-1642.5
2026-10-1841.9

Sector context

Industrials

Buying breadth
7.5% (79 / 1,047 issuers)
Sector rank
#8 / 12
7D breadth change
-0.3 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
30D breadth change
History building

This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.

View Europe sector research →

Insider profile outcomes

Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.

Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.

Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial Officer17 completed 20D event(s)
PeriodCompleted eventsPrice coverageHit rateMedian excess returnAverage excess returnWorst excess return
5D17Developing evidence100.0% (17/17)29.4% (5/17)-1.4%-1.3%-9.0%
20D17Developing evidence100.0% (17/17)29.4% (5/17)-3.4%-1.2%-11.4%
60D15Developing evidence100.0% (15/15)26.7% (4/15)-9.0%-6.7%-23.7%
120D12Developing evidence100.0% (12/12)8.3% (1/12)-21.8%-17.3%-31.9%
First purchase in 12M
0/17
Large purchase ≥ €100k
0/18
Cluster buying · 15D
0/18
Buying the dip · ≥20% below prior 52W high
8/18
Routine / opportunistic
Not classifiable

Market context

PRICE PERFORMANCE

1M
+8.1%
3M
+5.2%
6M
+6.4%
12M
—

VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY

Volatility
26.0%
Beta
—
Avg daily volume
£2.4M

VALUATION

Market cap
—
P/E
—

FUNDAMENTALS

Profit margin
2.5%
ROE
16.7%
Industry
—

Prices to 07 Oct 2026: price cache (Eulerpool). From the company's annual report ↗, fiscal year ended 28 Mar 2026: Profit margin, ROE. It does not affect the insider score or rank.

Disclosed net short positions

Aggregate net short
1.87%
Latest position date
14 Oct 2026

The FCA publishes one aggregate figure per issuer, the sum of all positions notified to it, and does not name the holders. Source: FCA · read 18 Oct 2026

Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.

Insiders' buying price vs the latest close

The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.

Buying size vs market trading

Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.

Market-data coverage: 251 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-07 · Ratio status: Unavailable

Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.

Latest news

No news has been captured for this company.

Regulatory filings

Unfold all 22 filings

Filing evidence

These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.

Excluded transactions & classification

16 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 16 transaction line(s)

Oct 14, 2026Purchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIP
Ryan Mangold · Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer
Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173 · 76 shares × 1.9750 GBP · —
Open filing
Sep 10, 2026Purchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIP
Ryan Mangold · Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer
Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173 · 88 shares × 1.7015 GBP · —
Open filing
Aug 10, 2026Purchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIP
Ryan Mangold · Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer
Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173 · 81 shares × 1.8471 GBP · —
Open filing
Unfold all 13 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeSource
2026-07-102026-07-15Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8105 GBPGBP83Open filing
2026-06-102026-06-12Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.68994 GBPGBP89Open filing
2026-05-112026-05-14Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.6680 GBPGBP90Open filing
2026-04-102026-04-14Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.7560 GBPGBP85Open filing
2026-03-182026-03-18——Share PurchaseOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.710738 GBPGBP6000Open filing
2026-03-182026-03-18——Share PurchaseOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.6803 GBPGBP29543Open filing
2026-03-102026-03-12Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.7676 GBPGBP85Open filing
2026-02-102026-02-12Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8979 GBPGBP79Open filing
2026-01-122026-01-15Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8935 GBPGBP79Open filing
2025-12-102025-12-12Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8458 GBPGBP81Open filing
2025-11-192025-11-19——Share PurchaseOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.786 GBPGBP50000Open filing
2025-11-192025-11-19——Share PurchaseOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.785 GBPGBP11000Open filing
2025-11-102025-11-12Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerPurchase of Partnership Shares under the FirstGroup SIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521732.0704 GBPGBP73Open filing

Showing 16 of 16 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score

View 17 other transaction(s)

Sep 2, 2026Exercise of options following maturity of the 2023 SAYE
— · —
Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173 · 13621 shares × 1.11 GBP · —
Open filing
Sep 2, 2026Exercise of options following maturity of the 2023 SAYE
— · —
Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173 · 13621 shares × 1.11 GBP · —
Open filing
Aug 14, 2026Acquisition of shares as a result of the reinvestment of dividend income
Ryan Mangold · Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer
Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173 · 281 shares × 1.85 GBP · —
Open filing
Unfold all 14 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeSource
2026-07-172026-07-17——(1) Grant of options at £1.55 under the SAYE Share planOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP9863Open filing
2026-07-172026-07-17——(1) Grant of options at £1.55 under the SAYE Share planOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP9863Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Release of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023 and sale of shares partly to cover tax and national insurance.Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP1090208Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Release of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023 and sale of shares partly to cover tax and national insurance.Ordinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8915 GBPGBP513425Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Release of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023 and sale of shares partly to cover tax and national insurance.Ordinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP443358Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Release of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023 and sale of shares partly to cover tax and national insurance.Ordinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8915 GBPGBP133425Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Exercise of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023, sale of shares to cover tax and national insuranceOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP855633Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Exercise of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023, sale of shares to cover tax and national insuranceOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8915 GBPGBP402955Open filing
2026-07-022026-07-02——Exercise of nil-cost conditional award to acquire shares under the LTIP granted in 2023, sale of shares to cover tax and national insuranceOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP452678Open filing
2026-06-192026-06-19——(1) Grant of conditional share award under EABP (2) Grant of conditional share award under LTIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP175710Open filing
2026-06-192026-06-19——(1) Grant of conditional share award under EABP (2) Grant of conditional share award under LTIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP661962Open filing
2026-06-192026-06-19——(1) Grant of conditional share award under EABP (2) Grant of conditional share award under LTIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP145404Open filing
2026-06-192026-06-19——(1) Grant of conditional share award under EABP (2) Grant of conditional share award under LTIPOrdinary shares of 5p each GB0003452173—GBP486007Open filing
2026-01-072026-01-13Ryan MangoldExecutive Director and Chief Financial OfficerAcquisition of shares as a result of the reinvestment of dividend incomeOrdinary shares of 5p each GB00034521731.8947 GBPGBP113Open filing

Showing 17 of 17 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Snapshot & identity

Snapshot date
2026-10-18
Ticker
FGP.L
ISIN
GB0003452173
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Railroads

Share this page

Save share image

The image states the stored facts and the snapshot date. It is not a recommendation.

Company logos by Parqet