| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 8Developing evidence | 100.0% (8/8) | 62.5% (5/8) | +1.1% | +0.5% | -5.6% |
| 20D | 6Developing evidence | 100.0% (6/6) | 16.7% (1/6) | -3.2% | -4.2% | -12.0% |
| 60D | 6Developing evidence | 100.0% (6/6) | 50.0% (3/6) | +1.7% | -2.5% | -35.4% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -14.5% | -14.5% | -14.5% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
Mpac Group plc
MPAC.L · United Kingdom · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：59.8 / 100
3 insiders · 4 purchase events · €71k net purchases
Europe #292 · United Kingdom #83
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+29.8 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+18.1 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+18.0 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+0.0 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+10.0 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
- ✓ Broad buyer cluster · 4+ distinct filers
- ✓ Strong insider role · cfo involved
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
84%
Largest buyer：David Squires · 50k GBP
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：59k GBP
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| David Squires | 2.48 GBP | Jun 19, 2026 |
| David Squires | 2.49 GBP | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Duncan Tyler | 2.336 GBP | Jun 17, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 3 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-19
- Current breadth input
- 0.850 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
David Squires · 25k GBP · Price 2.48 GBP · Jun 19, 2026 - 🟢 PDMR purchase
David Squires · 25k GBP · Price 2.49 GBP · Jun 18, 2026 - 🟢 PDMR purchase
Duncan Tyler · 9k GBP · Price 2.336 GBP · Jun 17, 2026 - 🟡 3 remaining qualified transaction line(s) across 3 disclosure(s)
- 🔴 3 other transaction line(s) are not counted as discretionary-buying evidence; 0 have zero price
Insider vs stock price
4 purchase day(s), 6 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.
Daily close (GBp)Day with an insider purchase
Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.
If you had followed the purchase
Each row starts on the first close on or after the day a purchase was made public, the earliest a reader could have acted, and ends on the last close shown above.
| Made public | Insiders | In this stock, now | In the median peer stock, now | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | 1 | 1,588 +58.8% | 1,031 +3.1% | +557 +55.7 pts |
| 2026-06-17 | 1 | 1,436 +43.6% | 998 −0.2% | +439 +43.9 pts |
| 2026-06-19 | 1 | 1,378 +37.8% | 1,010 +1.0% | +367 +36.7 pts |
3 of 3 disclosure day(s) ended ahead of the median peer stock.
Close to close, before costs, taxes, dividends and currency moves. The peer is the median of the other stocks on the same exchange for which this site holds prices (115 here), not an index. This is what happened, not a forecast: across all purchases on this site the typical gap is close to zero.
Insider timeline
3 insiders bought within 11 days, 9 Jun to 19 Jun: 2 Board member, 1 CFO. The share closed at 212.50 on the first of those days and at 337.50 most recently (+58.8%). That week 233 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, more than in 81% of the last 26 weeks: insiders often buy together when a closed period ends, so the timing alone says less than it seems.
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount. A filing that states no amount gets the smallest dot.
▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days
The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 9 Jun – 19 Jun, with 3 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.
Blue line: this share's price, +52.4% over these six months
The closing price of each day, from 221.50 on 2026-04-27 to 337.50 on 2026-10-21. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.
Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, +4.3%
Taken from the 610 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share +52.4%, the typical one +4.3%, 48.0 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 233 companies, number 5 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
Nov
Dec
1Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
3Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Tyler | CFO | 1 | — | 9.3k GBP | 2026-06-17 | +43.6% | fewer than 5 completed |
| Clive Whiley | Board member | 1 | — | — | 2026-06-09 | +58.8% | fewer than 5 completed |
| David Squires | Board member | 2 | — | 49.7k GBP | 2026-06-18 | +37.8% | fewer than 5 completed |
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.850 | 29.8 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.724 | 18.1 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.100 | 2.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 1.000 | 10.0 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
The two kinds of evidence disagree: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (several insiders together, more buyers than usual here, senior executive buying), while company results argue against (loss-making).
- The insider purchases themselvesBullseveral insiders together, more buyers than usual here, senior executive buying Bearvalue concentrated in one buyer, latest purchase is old3 checked, under the threshold · 3 missing
- Share price and tradingBearthinly traded2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
- Company resultsBearloss-making1 missing
- Company actions1 checked, under the threshold
Bull case · the buying is informative
- 3 insiders bought within 15 days (2026-06-09 to 2026-06-19). Several people reaching the same decision at the same time is hard to put down to one person's circumstances.Record: after 5,334 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.3%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
- 3 insiders bought in the last 180 days against 1 in the 180 days before: more than this company's own recent norm.Record: after 3,162 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
- The buyers include the CFO, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,738 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).
Bear case · discount it
- David Squires accounts for 84% of the value bought. The other 2 buyers add names more than money.Record: after 3,411 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.4%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.5%).
- The latest purchase was 126 days ago (2026-06-19). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.
- Company resultsThe company is loss-making on the latest captured figures: profit margin −4.3%.
- Share price and tradingAbout €328k of the stock changes hands on an average day, below this site's €500k screening line. A position is hard to enter or leave at the quoted price.
Evidence still missing
- No buyer here has 5 or more completed earlier purchases on record, so there is no track record to weigh.
- Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin −4.3%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
- European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 6 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Purchase of Ordinary Shares” does not rule one out.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 7
- Bear0 of 3 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- EitherNet purchases equal 0.06% of the company's market value. Bull from 0.10%, bear below 0.01%.
- BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
- BearThe share price changed +48% over six months (three months +4.7%, one month +0.75%) and stands 17% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
- BearOver three months the share price changed +4.7% and the median of 527 Industrials companies changed +<0.01%: ahead by 5 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
- BearThe register of FCA shows no published net short position in this company.
- BullThe company announced no transaction in its own shares in the last 30 days.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
59.8 / 100
Latest recorded score
→ +0.0 ptssince the first recorded snapshot on 2026-10-21; 2 calendar days observed
- Recorded snapshots
- 3
- First snapshot
- 2026-10-21
There is not yet a 30-calendar-day comparison; earlier scores are not reconstructed. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Less than 30 days of comparable history is available, so factor movement is not yet decomposed.
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 59.8
- 59.8
- 59.8
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 59.8 |
| 2026-10-22 | 59.8 |
| 2026-10-23 | 59.8 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 8.4% (88 / 1,049 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #8 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- +0.3 pp · vs 2026-10-16 (7d)
- 30D breadth change
- -1.5 pp · vs 2026-09-23 (30d)
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − FTSE 100 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 6Developing evidence | 100.0% (6/6) | 50.0% (3/6) | -2.3% | -1.3% | -11.3% |
| 20D | 6Developing evidence | 100.0% (6/6) | 50.0% (3/6) | +7.8% | +2.1% | -35.0% |
| 60D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 25.0% (1/4) | -21.0% | -7.2% | -43.0% |
| 120D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 0.0% (0/3) | -44.1% | -41.3% | -60.4% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +15.5% | +15.5% | +7.8% |
| 20D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +18.5% | +18.5% | +6.7% |
| 60D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +22.8% | +22.8% | +6.9% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -24.2% | -24.2% | -24.2% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 47.3%
- Beta
- 0.46
- Avg daily volume
- £182,047.5
VALUATION
- Market cap
- £101.5M
- P/E
- 112.5×
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- -4.3%
- ROE
- 0.7%
- Industry
- Specialty Industrial Machinery
Prices to 21 Oct 2026: OpenBB/yfinance. From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 21 Oct 2026: Market cap, P/E, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
The FCA register, read 23 Oct 2026, publishes no aggregate net short position for this issuer.
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders and institutions
Insiders, ranking window: €70.5k net bought · buyers: 3 · last 2026-06-19
Short sellers
Nothing at or above the publication threshold is on the FCA register (read 2026-10-23).
Source: FCA, read 2026-10-23. Where holders are named, only positions of 0.5% of issued capital or more are published, so these are lower bounds and a change is a change in what was published. Context only; not part of the score. All companies where insiders buy and short sellers hold positions →
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
Insiders paid 2.64 GBP a share on average (5 purchase lines, 3 buyers, 2025-10-23 – 2026-06-19). The close on 2026-10-21 was 27.8% above that price.
The latest purchase (2026-06-19) was at 2.48 GBP; the close was 36.1% above that price.
Prices paid are weighted by shares and taken from the filings; dividends are not counted. Not scored. 3 more purchase lines could not be compared with the share price and are left out.
Buying size vs market trading
0.00% · of estimated traded value in the same period
2026-09-24 – 2026-10-21 · 20 recorded trading sessions
- Disclosed qualifying purchases
- 0 GBP
- Estimated market traded value
- 5,490,092 GBP
Market-data coverage: 507 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-21 · Ratio status: Available
Recent and largest purchase events / preceding 60-session ADTV
- Jun 19 · David Squires · Non-Executive Director / PDMR24,800 GBP · 8.27%299,848 GBP ADTV
- Jun 18 · David Squires · Non-Executive Director / PDMR24,900 GBP · 8.32%299,264 GBP ADTV
- Jun 17 · Duncan Tyler · Interim Chief Financial Officer / PDMR9,344 GBP · 3.13%298,517 GBP ADTV
- Jun 09 · Clive Whiley · Senior Independent Director / PDMR— · —Some purchases lack a valid value; aggregate ratio withheld.
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-07-23 · trade date 2026-07-22
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-06-24 · trade date 2026-06-02
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-06-19 · trade date 2026-06-19
Unfold all 7 filings
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-07-23 · trade date 2026-07-22
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-06-24 · trade date 2026-06-02
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-06-19 · trade date 2026-06-19
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-06-17 · trade date 2026-06-17
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-06-09 · trade date 2026-06-09
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-02-02 · trade date 2026-01-30
- Insider filing announcement · published 2025-10-24 · trade date 2025-10-23
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
8 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 8 transaction line(s)
Jun 19, 2026Purchase of Ordinary Shares
David Squires · Non-Executive Director / PDMR
Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 · 10000 shares × 2.48 GBP · —
Open filingJun 18, 2026Purchase of Ordinary Shares
David Squires · Non-Executive Director / PDMR
Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 · 10000 shares × 2.49 GBP · —
Open filingJun 17, 2026Purchase of Ordinary Shares
Duncan Tyler · Interim Chief Financial Officer / PDMR
Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 · 4000 shares × 2.336 GBP · —
Open filingUnfold all 5 remaining filing row(s)
| Transaction date | Published | Filer | Role | Transaction | Instrument | Price (local currency) | Quote currency | Volume | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | 2026-06-09 | Clive Whiley | Senior Independent Director / PDMR | Purchase of Ordinary Shares | Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 | — | GBP | — | Open filing |
| 2026-06-09 | 2026-06-09 | Clive Whiley | Senior Independent Director / PDMR | Purchase of Ordinary Shares | Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 | — | GBP | — | Open filing |
| 2026-06-09 | 2026-06-09 | Clive Whiley | Senior Independent Director / PDMR | Purchase of Ordinary Shares | Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 | — | GBP | — | Open filing |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-02 | Simon Kesterton | Non-Executive Director / PDMR | Purchase of Ordinary Shares | Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 | 3.745 GBP | GBP | 2700 | Open filing |
| 2025-10-23 | 2025-10-24 | David Squires | Non-Executive Director / PDMR | Purchase of Ordinary Shares | Ordinary Shares of 25p each ("Ordinary Shares") GB0005991111 | 2.8556 GBP | GBP | 6250 | Open filing |
Showing 8 of 8 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 3 other transaction(s)
Jul 22, 2026Grant of options under the Mpac Group plc Long-Term Incentive Plan.
Duncan Tyler · Incoming CFO / PDMR
Options over Ordinary Shares GB0005991111 · — shares × — · —
Open filingJun 2, 2026G rant of options under the Mpac Group plc Long-Term Incentive Plan.
Adam Holland · Chief Executive Officer / PDMR
Options over Ordinary Shares GB0005991111 · — shares × — · —
Open filingJun 2, 2026G rant of options under the Mpac Group plc Long-Term Incentive Plan.
D uncan Tyler · Interim Chief Financial Officer / PDMR
Options over Ordinary Shares GB0005991111 · — shares × — · —
Open filingShowing 3 of 3 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
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Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-23
- Ticker
- MPAC.L
- ISIN
- GB0005991111
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Specialty Industrial Machinery
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