| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -4.6% | -4.6% | -8.1% |
| 20D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -22.5% | -22.5% | -38.8% |
| 60D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -25.7% | -25.7% | -33.4% |
| 120D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -46.3% | -46.3% | -49.8% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
THG PLC
THG.L · United Kingdom · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：67.1 / 100
2 insiders · 2 purchase events · €10.66m net purchases
Europe #114 · United Kingdom #36
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+21.0 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+25.0 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+17.1 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+8.1 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+10.0 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
- ✓ Strong insider role · ? involved
- ✓ Recent activity · latest purchase 2026-10-20
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
98%
Largest buyer：FIC Shareco Limited · 8.75m GBP
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：8.93m GBP
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| FIC Shareco Limited | 0.35 GBP | Oct 20, 2026 |
| The Moulding Foundation | 0.35 GBP | Oct 20, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 2 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-20
- Current breadth input
- 0.600 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
FIC Shareco Limited · 8.75m GBP · Price 0.35 GBP · Oct 20, 2026 - 🟢 Eligible purchase
The Moulding Foundation · 175k GBP · Price 0.35 GBP · Oct 20, 2026
Insider vs stock price
1 purchase day(s), 2 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.
Daily close (GBX)Day with an insider purchaseTwo or more insiders the same day
Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.
Insider timeline
2 insiders bought on the same day, 20 Oct: 2 Associated person. The share closed at 36.20 that day and at 39.70 most recently (+9.7%). That week 106 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, an ordinary week (26 of the last 26).
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.
▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days
The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 20 Oct, with 2 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.
Blue line: this share's price, +13.6% over these six months
The closing price of each day, from 34.96 on 2026-04-27 to 39.70 on 2026-10-23. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.
Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, +4.2%
Taken from the 610 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share +13.6%, the typical one +4.2%, 9.3 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 106 companies, number 26 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
Nov
Dec
Jan
1Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIC Shareco Limited | Associated person | 1 | — | 8.8M GBP | 2026-10-20 | +9.7% | fewer than 5 completed |
| The Moulding Foundation | Associated person | 1 | — | 175.0k GBP | 2026-10-20 | +9.7% | fewer than 5 completed |
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.600 | 21.0 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 1.000 | 25.0 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.147; source unavailable, filled with a cohort-neutral value | 2.9 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.812 | 8.1 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 1.000 | 10.0 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
The two kinds of evidence disagree: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (large purchases, bought in the last two weeks), while share price and trading argue against (price down over six months); short sellers argue against (published short positions); company results argue against (loss-making).
- The insider purchases themselvesBulllarge purchases, bought in the last two weeks Bearvalue concentrated in one buyer4 checked, under the threshold · 3 missing
- Share price and tradingBearprice down over six months2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellersBearpublished short positions
- Company resultsBearloss-making1 missing
- Company actions1 checked, under the threshold
Bull case · the buying is informative
- Net purchases of €10.7M equal 2.1% of the company's market value (€499.2M): large for the size of the business.
- The latest purchase is 3 days old (2026-10-20). The buying is current, not left over from an earlier quarter.
Bear case · discount it
- FIC Shareco Limited accounts for 98% of the value bought. The other 1 buyer adds names more than money.Record: after 3,411 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.4%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.5%).
- Company resultsThe company is loss-making on the latest captured figures: profit margin −3.7%, return on equity −10%.
- Share price and tradingThe share price is down 21% over six months (three months −11%, one month −25%) and stands 50% below its 52-week high. Insiders have bought into a fall the market has not reversed.Record (nearest stored case: price 20% or more below its prior 52-week high): after 11,046 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.3%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.6%).
- Short sellersPublished net short positions add up to 6.26% of the share capital: other professional investors are positioned the opposite way. On 2026-10-09 it was 6.86%: down 0.60 points since.
Evidence still missing
- No buyer here has 5 or more completed earlier purchases on record, so there is no track record to weigh.
- Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin −3.7%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
- European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 2 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Acquisition of ordinary voting shares” does not rule one out.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 7, 1 close to it
- BullAt most 2 insiders bought within any 15 days. Counted for the bull side from 3. close to the threshold
- Either2 insiders bought in the last 180 days and 1 in the 180 days before. Bull when the number at least doubles and rises by two; bear when at least two bought before and no more buy now.
- Bear0 of 2 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
- BearOver three months the share price changed −11% and the median of 295 Consumer Cyclical companies changed −3.5%: behind by 7 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
- BullThe company announced no transaction in its own shares in the last 30 days.
- BearAbout €2.4M of the stock changes hands on an average day. Counted for the bear side below €500k.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
67.1 / 100
Latest recorded score
↑ +18.6 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-08-27 (57 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 3
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.
- Cluster+10.5 pts
- Role+0.1 pts
- Recency+8.1 pts
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 48.6
- 48.5
- 67.1
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 48.6 |
| 2026-08-27 | 48.5 |
| 2026-10-23 | 67.1 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 9.0% (45 / 502 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #7 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- +0.1 pp · vs 2026-10-16 (7d)
- 30D breadth change
- -2.7 pp · vs 2026-09-23 (30d)
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − FTSE 100 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -11.5% | -11.5% | -11.5% |
| 20D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -13.3% | -13.3% | -13.3% |
| 60D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -8.7% | -8.7% | -8.7% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -12.8% | -12.8% | -12.8% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -8.1% | -8.1% | -8.1% |
| 20D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -6.1% | -6.1% | -6.1% |
| 60D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -18.0% | -18.0% | -18.0% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -42.7% | -42.7% | -42.7% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- —
- Beta
- 2.47
- Avg daily volume
- £1.3M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- £418.0M
- P/E
- —
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- -3.7%
- ROE
- -10.1%
- Industry
- Internet Retail
Prices to 26 Sep 2026: OpenBB/yfinance. From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 26 Sep 2026: Market cap, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
- Aggregate net short
- 6.26%
- Latest position date
- 20 Oct 2026
The FCA publishes one aggregate figure per issuer, the sum of all positions notified to it, and does not name the holders. Source: FCA · read 23 Oct 2026
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders and institutions
Insiders, ranking window: €10.7M net bought · buyers: 2 · last 2026-10-20
Short sellers
- Sum of published positions
- 6.26%register total
- Change, about 4 weeks
- −0.52 ppfrom 6.78% on 2026-10-02
- Change, about 12 weeks
- +1.26 ppfrom 5.00% on 2026-08-07
- Published short, 6 months
- line: insiders' last purchase
Insiders bought while the published short positions shrank.
Source: FCA, read 2026-10-23. Where holders are named, only positions of 0.5% of issued capital or more are published, so these are lower bounds and a change is a change in what was published. Context only; not part of the score. All companies where insiders buy and short sellers hold positions →
Major holders (3% and above)
| Holder | Voting rights | Notified | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Moulding | 18.76% | 2026-01-23 | +11.67 pp |
| Frasers Group Plc | 11.09% | 2026-09-15 | +0.31 pp |
| Sofina SA | 7.97% | 2025-12-05 | −1.67 pp |
| Qatar Investment Authority | 5.95% | 2025-12-05 | −0.89 pp |
| Balderton Capital IV, L.P. | 5.91% | 2026-01-23 | −1.06 pp |
| VG Corporate Trustee Limited | 3.69% | 2026-01-23 | +0.95 pp |
Holders that notified a higher stake in the last 12 months: 3; a lower one: 3 (banks and brokers left out).
Source: FCA (TR-1). A holder must notify when its voting rights cross 3% and every whole percent above it; within a percent a holding can change without a notice. Banks and brokers often hold shares to hedge clients' trades; the largest asset managers' stakes are mostly index money. Context only; not part of the score.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
Insiders paid 0.3497 GBP a share on average (3 purchase lines, 2 buyers, 2026-02-20 – 2026-10-20). The close on 2026-10-23 was 13.5% above that price.
The latest purchase (2026-10-20) was at 0.3500 GBP; the close was 13.4% above that price.
Prices paid are weighted by shares and taken from the filings; dividends are not counted. Not scored.
Buying size vs market trading
22.51% · of estimated traded value in the same period
2026-09-28 – 2026-10-23 · 20 recorded trading sessions
- Disclosed qualifying purchases
- 8,925,000 GBP
- Estimated market traded value
- 39,651,119 GBP
Market-data coverage: 254 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-23 · Ratio status: Available
Recent and largest purchase events / preceding 60-session ADTV
- Oct 20 · FIC Shareco Limited · PCA of Matthew Moulding8,750,000 GBP · 510.06%1,715,472 GBP ADTV
- Oct 20 · The Moulding Foundation · PCA of Matthew Moulding175,000 GBP · 10.20%1,715,472 GBP ADTV
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
News capture status: ok. Articles were retained for audit but none met the reader threshold.
Regulatory filings
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-10-23 · trade date 2026-10-20
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-02-24 · trade date 2026-02-20
- Insider filing announcement · published 2025-12-09 · trade date 2025-12-08
Unfold all 4 filings
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-10-23 · trade date 2026-10-20
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-02-24 · trade date 2026-02-20
- Insider filing announcement · published 2025-12-09 · trade date 2025-12-08
- Insider filing announcement · published 2025-11-26 · trade date 2025-11-24
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
3 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 3 transaction line(s)
Oct 20, 2026Acquisition of ordinary voting shares
FIC Shareco Limited · PCA of Matthew Moulding
Ordinary voting shares of £0.005 each ISIN: GB00BMTV7393 · 25000000 shares × 0.35 GBP · —
Open filingOct 20, 2026Acquisition of ordinary voting shares
The Moulding Foundation · PCA of Matthew Moulding
Ordinary voting shares of £0.005 each ISIN: GB00BMTV7393 · 500000 shares × 0.35 GBP · —
Open filingFeb 20, 2026Acquisition of ordinary voting shares
FIC Shareco Limited · PCA of Matthew Moulding
Ordinary voting shares of £0.005 each ISIN: GB00BMTV7393 · 24395170 shares × 0.3493 GBP · —
Open filingShowing 3 of 3 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 3 other transaction(s)
Dec 8, 2025Acquisition of ordinary voting shares on conversion of convertible loan agreement
FIC Shareco Limited · PCA of Matthew Moulding
Ordinary voting shares of £0.005 each ISIN: GB00BMTV7393 · 209086407 shares × 0.323 GBP · —
Open filingNov 24, 2025Transfer of ordinary voting shares to FIC Shareco Limited, a PCA of Matthew Moulding
FIC Shareco Limited · PCA of Matthew Moulding
Ordinary voting shares of £0.005 each ISIN: GB00BMTV7393 · 181818181 shares × 0.44 GBP · —
Open filingNov 24, 2025Receipt of ordinary voting shares from FIC Shareco Limited, a PCA of Matthew Moulding
FIC Shareco Limited · PCA of Matthew Moulding
Ordinary voting shares of £0.005 each ISIN: GB00BMTV7393 · 181818181 shares × 0.44 GBP · —
Open filingShowing 3 of 3 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
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Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-23
- Ticker
- THG.L
- ISIN
- GB00BMTV7393
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Internet Retail
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