Stock Trading Canary

Snapshot date: 2026-10-18 · Built: 2026-10-19T14:56:20+00:00 · Publication status: UNVERIFIED

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SE · Real Estate

Sveafastigheter AB (publ)

6 insiders with qualifying purchases across 12 purchase event(s); aggregate net purchases of €25.47m; most recent recorded purchase: 2026-10-16.

Identity: PASS Ticker: SVEAF-B.ST

INSIDER SIGNAL

Insider activity score:74.1 / 100

6 insiders · 12 purchase events · €25.47m net purchases

WHY THIS SIGNAL?

Score anatomy

Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.

Cluster+29.8 / 35

How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster

Purchase size+25.0 / 25

Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity

Role+20.0 / 20

The seniority and relevance of participating insiders

Recency+9.3 / 10

How recently the purchases occurred

Conviction+10.0 / 10

How clearly buying stands out from other activity

What is holding the score back?

  • ✓ Broad buyer cluster · 4+ distinct filers
  • ✓ Strong insider role · ceo/chair involved
  • ✓ Recent activity · latest purchase 2026-10-16

The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.

BUYING PROFILE

12 events · 6 insiders · 180d

Cluster 59%Repeat 33%Independent 8%Large 0%

Percentages are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%.

Buying concentration

72%

Largest buyer:Jens-Fredrik Jalland · 287.92m SEK
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value:400.05m SEK

The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.

This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.

Key purchase quotes (filing currency)

FilerPrice per unitTrade date
Jens Fredrik Jalland31.2625 SEKOct 16, 2026
Jens Fredrik Jalland30.8724 SEKOct 15, 2026
Jens-Fredrik Jalland32.2507 SEKSep 30, 2026
Model details

Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)

15-day buyer breadth (count)
3 distinct reported filers
Peak time window
2026-09-30 to 2026-10-15
Current breadth input
0.850 (capped at 4+ buyers)
Buyer independence
Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable

What the filings show

Insider timeline

3 insiders bought within 15 days, 30 Sep to 14 Oct: 3 Board member. 1 of them bought again later. The share closed at 31.35 on the first of those days and at 31.00 most recently (−1.1%). That week 183 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, an ordinary week (13 of the last 26).

Several insiders within 15 days: 2026-09-30 – 2026-10-14Erik HävermarkErik HävermarkVerkställande direktör (VD)CEO / chairLeiv SynnesLeiv SynnesStyrelseledamotBoard memberJens-Fredrik JallandJens-Fredrik JallandStyrelseledamotBoard memberAndreas MorfiadakisAndreas MorfiadakisStyrelseledamotBoard memberJens Fredrik JallandJens Fredrik JallandStyrelseledamotBoard member2026-06-04 · Leiv Synnes · purchase · 514,336 SEK2026-07-17 · Erik Hävermark · purchase · 296,500 SEK2026-08-05 · Jens-Fredrik Jalland · purchase · 142,787,250 SEK2026-09-30 · Jens-Fredrik Jalland · purchase · 145,128,150 SEK2026-10-14 · Andreas Morfiadakis · purchase · 95 SEK2026-10-14 · Jens Fredrik Jalland · purchase · 60,398,400 SEK2026-10-15 · Jens Fredrik Jalland · purchase · 30,872,400 SEK2026-10-16 · Jens Fredrik Jalland · purchase · 19,183,858 SEK2026-04-20 to 2026-04-26: 136 companies2026-04-27 to 2026-05-03: 203 companies2026-05-04 to 2026-05-10: 241 companies2026-05-11 to 2026-05-17: 211 companies2026-05-18 to 2026-05-24: 244 companies2026-05-25 to 2026-05-31: 237 companies2026-06-01 to 2026-06-07: 243 companies2026-06-08 to 2026-06-14: 237 companies2026-06-15 to 2026-06-21: 211 companies2026-06-22 to 2026-06-28: 185 companies2026-06-29 to 2026-07-05: 192 companies2026-07-06 to 2026-07-12: 160 companies2026-07-13 to 2026-07-19: 181 companies2026-07-20 to 2026-07-26: 167 companies2026-07-27 to 2026-08-02: 160 companies2026-08-03 to 2026-08-09: 152 companies2026-08-10 to 2026-08-16: 164 companies2026-08-17 to 2026-08-23: 194 companies2026-08-24 to 2026-08-30: 182 companies2026-08-31 to 2026-09-06: 188 companies2026-09-07 to 2026-09-13: 178 companies2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: 173 companies2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27: 179 companies2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04: 183 companies2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11: 166 companies2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18: 138 companiesCompanies disclosing purchases, per weekMayJunJulAugSepOct

Tap an item for what it means.

●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought

Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.

▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days

The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 30 Sep – 14 Oct, with 3 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.

Blue line: this share's price, −11.3% over these six months

The closing price of each day, from 34.95 on 2026-04-21 to 31.00 on 2026-10-16. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.

Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, −9.2%

Taken from the 457 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share −11.3%, the typical one −9.2%, 2.1 points behind. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.

▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week

A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 183 companies, number 13 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.

This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months

1Nov
Dec
2Jan
Feb
1Mar
Apr
May
1Jun
1Jul
1Aug
1Sep
2Oct

Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.

Who traded

InsiderRolePurchasesSalesBoughtFirst purchaseShare price sinceEarlier purchases
Erik HävermarkCEO / chair1—296.5k SEK2026-07-17+4.6%fewer than 5 completed
Leiv SynnesBoard member1—514.3k SEK2026-06-04−1.4%10 completed, median −8.7% against peers after 60 sessions
Jens-Fredrik JallandBoard member2—287.9M SEK2026-08-05−3.3%fewer than 5 completed
Andreas MorfiadakisBoard member1—95 SEK2026-10-14+2.8%fewer than 5 completed
Jens Fredrik JallandBoard member3—110.5M SEK2026-10-14+2.8%fewer than 5 completed

BULL VS BEAR

Two readings of this buying

The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.

All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →

Where the evidence comes from

Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (several insiders together, more buyers than usual here, large purchases, senior executive buying, bought in the last two weeks); share price and trading, short sellers, company results were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company actions.

  • The insider purchases themselvesBullseveral insiders together, more buyers than usual here, large purchases, senior executive buying, bought in the last two weeks Bearassociated persons buying2 checked, under the threshold · 2 missing
  • Share price and trading3 checked, under the threshold
  • Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
  • Company results1 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
  • Company actions1 missing

Bull case · the buying is informative

  • 3 insiders bought within 15 days (2026-09-30 to 2026-10-15). Several people reaching the same decision at the same time is hard to put down to one person's circumstances.Record: after 5,401 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.3%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
  • 5 insiders bought in the last 180 days against 2 in the 180 days before: more than this company's own recent norm.Record: after 3,134 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
  • Net purchases of €25.5M equal 4.6% of the company's market value (€559.6M): large for the size of the business.
  • The buyers include the CEO or chair, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,797 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).
  • The latest purchase is 1 day old (2026-10-16). The buying is current, not left over from an earlier quarter.

Bear case · discount it

  • 4 of 5 buyers are filed as persons closely associated with a manager (family or a holding vehicle), not the manager. This model weights such filers among the least informative.Record: after 1,554 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −7.4%, 1.6 percentage points below all comparable disclosures (−5.8%).

Evidence still missing

  • Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin 29%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
  • The next scheduled results are on 2026-11-18. They are the first hard test of either reading.
  • European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 9 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Förvärv” does not rule one out.
  • The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 7, 1 close to it
  • BearThe largest buyer accounts for 72% of the value bought. Counted for the bear side from 80%. close to the threshold
  • BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
  • BearThe share price changed −13% over six months (three months +7.5%, one month −1.6%) and stands 33% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
  • BearOver three months the share price changed +7.5% and the median of 164 Real Estate companies changed −6.9%: ahead by 14 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
  • BearPublished net short positions total 0.83% of the share capital across 1 named holder. Counted for the bear side from 2%. On 2026-10-02 it was 1.33%: down 0.50 points since.
  • BearProfit margin on the latest captured figures is 29%. Counted for the bear side when negative.
  • BearAbout €830k of the stock changes hands on an average day. Counted for the bear side below €500k.

Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.

Why this score? · Model details

Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)

FactorWeightThis company inputPoint contribution
15-day buyer breadth (count)35%0.85029.8
Qualified-buy size25%1.00025.0
Role informativeness (inverted)20%0.0000.0
Recency10%0.9339.3
Buy/sell conviction10%1.00010.0

This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.

Signal history

74.1 / 100

Latest recorded score

↑ +28.0 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
Recorded snapshots
35
First snapshot
2026-08-26

Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.

Why did it change?

Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.

  • Cluster+19.2 pts
  • Recency+8.7 pts

Signal score history

Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.

02550751002026-08-26 · 52.12026-08-27 · 52.12026-08-28 · 47.52026-08-31 · 47.12026-09-01 · 47.02026-09-02 · 46.92026-09-03 · 46.82026-09-04 · 46.82026-09-07 · 46.52026-09-08 · 46.42026-09-09 · 46.42026-09-10 · 46.32026-09-11 · 46.32026-09-14 · 46.12026-09-23 · 45.82026-09-24 · 45.82026-09-25 · 45.82026-09-28 · 45.72026-09-29 · 45.72026-09-30 · 45.72026-10-01 · 45.72026-10-02 · 45.72026-10-03 · 45.72026-10-04 · 45.72026-10-05 · 52.62026-10-06 · 52.12026-10-07 · 51.72026-10-08 · 51.22026-10-09 · 50.92026-10-12 · 49.92026-10-13 · 49.62026-10-14 · 66.02026-10-15 · 65.32026-10-16 · 74.82026-10-18 · 74.1Aug 26Sep 07Sep 28Oct 07Oct 18

Recent recorded points

  1. 52.1
  2. 46.5
  3. 45.7
  4. 51.7
  5. 74.1
View all recorded scores
Snapshot dateSignal score
2026-08-2652.1
2026-08-2752.1
2026-08-2847.5
2026-08-3147.1
2026-09-0147.0
2026-09-0246.9
2026-09-0346.8
2026-09-0446.8
2026-09-0746.5
2026-09-0846.4
2026-09-0946.4
2026-09-1046.3
2026-09-1146.3
2026-09-1446.1
2026-09-2345.8
2026-09-2445.8
2026-09-2545.8
2026-09-2845.7
2026-09-2945.7
2026-09-3045.7
2026-10-0145.7
2026-10-0245.7
2026-10-0345.7
2026-10-0445.7
2026-10-0552.6
2026-10-0652.1
2026-10-0751.7
2026-10-0851.2
2026-10-0950.9
2026-10-1249.9
2026-10-1349.6
2026-10-1466.0
2026-10-1565.3
2026-10-1674.8
2026-10-1874.1

Sector context

Real Estate

Buying breadth
9.0% (32 / 354 issuers)
Sector rank
#5 / 12
7D breadth change
-0.9 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
30D breadth change
History building

This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.

View Europe sector research →

Disclosed net short positions

Disclosed total
0.83%
Named holders
1
Latest position date
29 Sep 2026
HolderNet short, % of issued share capitalPosition date
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership0.83%29 Sep 2026

Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: Finansinspektionen · read 18 Oct 2026

Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.

Insiders' buying price vs the latest close

Insiders paid 31.50 SEK a share on average (4 purchase lines, 2 buyers, 2026-09-30 – 2026-10-16). The close on 2026-10-16 was 1.6% below that price.

The latest purchase (2026-10-16) was at 31.26 SEK; the close was 0.8% below that price.

Prices paid are weighted by shares and taken from the filings; dividends are not counted. Not scored.

Buying size vs market trading

47.74% · of estimated traded value in the same period

2026-09-21 – 2026-10-16 · 20 recorded trading sessions

Disclosed qualifying purchases
255,582,808 SEK
Estimated market traded value
535,396,903 SEK

Market-data coverage: 498 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-16 · Ratio status: Available

Recent and largest purchase events / preceding 60-session ADTV

Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.

Additional context and cautions

Recorded facts

1. News & events

Signal events

Qualifying insider-purchase disclosureOct 16, 2026 · Jens Fredrik Jalland · 1 qualifying transaction line(s) · 19.18m SEKWhy this matters: this is underlying qualifying filing evidence used by the current signal. No standalone score change is attributed to one filing.
Qualifying insider-purchase disclosureOct 15, 2026 · Jens Fredrik Jalland · 1 qualifying transaction line(s) · 30.87m SEKWhy this matters: this is underlying qualifying filing evidence used by the current signal. No standalone score change is attributed to one filing.
Qualifying insider-purchase disclosureSep 30, 2026 · Jens-Fredrik Jalland · 1 qualifying transaction line(s) · 145.13m SEKWhy this matters: this is underlying qualifying filing evidence used by the current signal. No standalone score change is attributed to one filing.

Latest company updates

No direct company source is registered yet; these updates were captured and rule-screened with this research snapshot, not from a live feed.

Market context (0)

No classified market-context item.

12 low-confidence, duplicate, or irrelevant headline(s) were withheld; the audit log remains in internal data-quality records.

2. Filing evidence

The rows below are from the underlying national-feed CSV and the current 365-day research window; no website-side reclassification or value calculation is applied.

Eligible insider-purchase filings used in this screen

These detailed purchase disclosures retain the original filer, role, transaction and source fields. The first three rows are shown; the rest can be unfolded.

13 qualified disclosures · 13 transaction lines used in this screen

Oct 16, 2026Förvärv
Jens Fredrik Jalland · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 613638.0 shares × 31.2625 SEK · —
Oct 15, 2026Förvärv
Jens Fredrik Jalland · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 1000000.0 shares × 30.8724 SEK · —
Oct 14, 2026Förvärv
Jens Fredrik Jalland · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 2000000.0 shares × 30.1992 SEK · —
Unfold all 10 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeSource
2026-10-142026-10-14Andreas MorfiadakisStyrelseledamotFörvärvAktie31.55 SEKSEK3.0—
2026-09-302026-10-05Jens-Fredrik JallandStyrelseledamotFörvärvAktie32.2507 SEKSEK4500000.0—
2026-08-052026-08-10Jens-Fredrik JallandStyrelseledamotFörvärvAktie31.7305 SEKSEK4500000.0—
2026-07-172026-07-17Erik HävermarkVerkställande direktör (VD)FörvärvAktie29.65 SEKSEK10000.0—
2026-06-042026-06-04Leiv SynnesStyrelseledamotFörvärvAktie32.0 SEKSEK1700.0—
2026-06-042026-06-04Leiv SynnesStyrelseledamotFörvärvAktie31.94 SEKSEK14400.0—
2026-03-232026-03-23Erik HävermarkVerkställande direktör (VD)FörvärvAktie34.66 SEKSEK5000.0—
2026-01-162026-01-16Erik HävermarkVerkställande direktör (VD)FörvärvAktie42.6 SEKSEK7000.0—
2026-01-082026-01-09Magnus JägreAnnan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorganFörvärvAktie42.38927 SEKSEK2000.0—
2025-11-122025-11-12Erik HävermarkVerkställande direktör (VD)FörvärvAktie39.24 SEKSEK8000.0—

Showing 13 of 13 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

Other disclosed transactions

These records remain available for audit but are not treated as discretionary-purchase evidence.

View 8 other disclosed transaction(s)

Oct 5, 2026Fusion ökning
Andreas Morfiadakis · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 174545.0 shares × 81.39 SEK · —
Oct 5, 2026Fusion ökning
Andreas Morfiadakis · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 965980.0 shares × 81.39 SEK · —
Sep 30, 2026Fusion ökning
Jens-Fredrik Jalland · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 3886363.0 shares × 33.24 SEK · —
Unfold all 5 remaining filing row(s)
Transaction datePublishedFilerRoleTransactionInstrumentPrice (local currency)Quote currencyVolumeSource
2026-09-302026-10-02Sophia Mattsson LinnalaStyrelseledamotUtbyte ökningAktie0.0 SEKSEK9000.0—
2026-09-302026-09-30Andreas MorfiadakisStyrelseledamotFusion ökningAktie0.0 SEKSEK40679880.0—
2026-09-302026-09-30Andreas MorfiadakisStyrelseledamotFusion ökningAktie0.0 SEKSEK13336364.0—
2026-09-302026-09-30Lovisa SörenssonAnnan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorganUtbyte ökningAktie0.0 SEKSEK16926.0—
2026-07-292026-07-29Leiv SynnesStyrelseledamotPantsättningAktie0.0 SEKSEK78500000.0—

Showing 8 of 8 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.

3. Model reading

These inputs explain the current research ordering. They are displayed after the evidence and are not a forecast.

Signal score
74.1
Risk-adjusted signal
2.80
15-day buyer-breadth input
0.85
Size input
1.0
Role input
0.0
Recency input
0.933
Conviction input
1.0

Risk-adjusted signal = raw signal ÷ annualised historical volatility, then a modest quality × low-beta tilt. It is used only for the current research ordering—not an expected return, Sharpe ratio, or risk forecast. The risk inputs appear below.

4. Tradability and risk

Annualised volatility
25.5%
Beta
0.77
Maximum drawdown
-37.3%
Average daily value
€830k
6-month momentum
-11.3%

5. Provenance

Country feed
SE
ISIN
SE0029856053
Raw evidence file
europe/sweden/se_insider_trades.csv

Board date: 2026-10-18. Source retrieval and publication dates remain on the individual filing rows where supplied.