| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 27Established evidence | 100.0% (27/27) | 55.6% (15/27) | +0.8% | +1.9% | -11.3% |
| 20D | 27Established evidence | 100.0% (27/27) | 48.1% (13/27) | -1.5% | +2.3% | -15.5% |
| 60D | 22Established evidence | 100.0% (22/22) | 72.7% (16/22) | +6.2% | +6.7% | -46.9% |
| 120D | 9Developing evidence | 100.0% (9/9) | 88.9% (8/9) | +7.9% | +10.2% | -32.1% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT
UBI.PA · France · Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：56.9 / 100
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
Where the evidence comes from
The two kinds of evidence disagree: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (large purchases, senior executive buying), while short sellers argue against (published short positions); company results argue against (loss-making). No data is held for: company actions.
- The insider purchases themselvesBulllarge purchases, senior executive buying2 checked, under the threshold
- Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellersBearpublished short positions
- Company resultsBearloss-making1 missing
- Company actionsno data held
Bull case · the buying is informative
- Net purchases of €137.7M equal 19% of the company's market value (€727.5M): large for the size of the business.
- The buyers include the CEO or chair, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,759 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).
Bear case · discount it
- Company resultsThe company is loss-making on the latest captured figures: profit margin −106%, return on equity −95%.
- Short sellersDisclosed net short positions total 11.34% of the share capital across 11 named holders: other professional investors are positioned the opposite way. On 2026-10-02 it was 11.59%: down 0.25 points since.
Evidence still missing
- Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin −106%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
Checked and under the threshold: 4
- BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
- EitherThe latest purchase is 35 days old. Bull up to 14 days, bear from 90.
- BearThe share price changed +26% over six months (three months −14%, one month +2.8%) and stands 51% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
- BearOver three months the share price changed −14% and the median of 126 Communication Services companies changed −1.7%: behind by 13 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
56.9 / 100
Latest recorded score
↑ +0.6 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (35 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 36
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.
- Recency+0.5 pts
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 59.5
- 56.5
- 59.5
- 58.0
- 56.9
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 59.5 |
| 2026-08-27 | 59.5 |
| 2026-08-28 | 57.1 |
| 2026-08-31 | 56.9 |
| 2026-09-01 | 56.8 |
| 2026-09-02 | 56.8 |
| 2026-09-03 | 56.7 |
| 2026-09-04 | 56.7 |
| 2026-09-07 | 56.5 |
| 2026-09-08 | 56.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | 56.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | 56.4 |
| 2026-09-11 | 56.4 |
| 2026-09-14 | 56.3 |
| 2026-09-23 | 61.4 |
| 2026-09-24 | 61.0 |
| 2026-09-25 | 60.7 |
| 2026-09-28 | 59.8 |
| 2026-09-29 | 59.5 |
| 2026-09-30 | 59.3 |
| 2026-10-01 | 59.1 |
| 2026-10-02 | 58.9 |
| 2026-10-03 | 58.9 |
| 2026-10-04 | 58.9 |
| 2026-10-05 | 58.3 |
| 2026-10-06 | 58.2 |
| 2026-10-07 | 58.0 |
| 2026-10-08 | 57.9 |
| 2026-10-09 | 57.8 |
| 2026-10-12 | 57.4 |
| 2026-10-13 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-14 | 57.2 |
| 2026-10-15 | 57.2 |
| 2026-10-16 | 57.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | 57.0 |
| 2026-10-19 | 56.9 |
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.600 | 21.0 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 1.000 | 25.0 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.088 | 0.9 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 1.000 | 10.0 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
Why there is no buy signal
No qualifying open-market purchase disclosure is available in the current research window. This is not a sell signal.
The underlying disclosures remain available below for audit.
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 10.0% (25 / 249 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #3 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- -0.8 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (7d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − CAC 40 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 40.0% (2/5) | -1.4% | -1.7% | -8.4% |
| 20D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 0.0% (0/5) | -6.9% | -6.5% | -10.7% |
| 60D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 40.0% (2/5) | -4.7% | -1.7% | -7.4% |
| 120D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 0.0% (0/3) | -36.6% | -37.2% | -40.3% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 66.7% (2/3) | +0.7% | +0.0% | -1.7% |
| 20D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 0.0% (0/3) | -4.0% | -3.7% | -4.2% |
| 60D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 66.7% (2/3) | +3.2% | +1.2% | -3.5% |
| 120D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 0.0% (0/3) | -36.2% | -36.6% | -40.3% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 83.6%
- Beta
- -0.18
- Avg daily volume
- €2.8M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- €727.5M
- P/E
- —
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- -105.7%
- ROE
- -95.0%
- Industry
- Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Prices to 07 Oct 2026: price cache (Eulerpool). From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 28 Sep 2026: Market cap, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
- Disclosed total
- 11.34%
- Named holders
- 11
- Latest position date
- 14 Oct 2026
| Holder | Net short, % of issued share capital | Position date |
|---|---|---|
| MARCHANT MC LTD | 1.63% | 31 Mar 2026 |
| PDT PARTNERS, LLC | 1.50% | 29 Sep 2026 |
| ARGONAUT CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP | 1.47% | 08 Jul 2026 |
| SIH PARTNERS, LLLP | 1.27% | 13 Oct 2026 |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., L.P. | 1.19% | 30 Jun 2026 |
| ASTARIS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLP | 0.90% | 21 Aug 2026 |
| ActusRayPartners Limited | 0.83% | 28 Sep 2026 |
| TUDOR CAPITAL EUROPE LLP | 0.70% | 16 Sep 2026 |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 0.67% | 14 Oct 2026 |
| D. E. SHAW & CO. (LONDON), LLP | 0.59% | 12 Aug 2026 |
| SQUAREPOINT OPS LLC | 0.59% | 13 Oct 2026 |
Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: AMF · read 19 Oct 2026
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
No qualifying purchase was filed in this period.
Buying size vs market trading
No daily prices and volumes have been captured for this stock yet.
Insider timeline
The current window holds no filing with a trade date.
Insider vs stock price
No daily prices and volumes have been captured for this stock yet.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
The underlying filing feed is unavailable in this snapshot; this is not a claim that no filings exist.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
The underlying filing feed is unavailable in this snapshot; this is not a claim that no filings exist.
Follow new disclosures
Subscribe to new Europe disclosures. These are market-wide RSS feeds, not company-specific alerts.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-19
- Ticker
- UBI.PA
- ISIN
- FR0000054470
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Electronic Gaming & Multimedia