| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 9Developing evidence | 100.0% (9/9) | 44.4% (4/9) | -0.9% | -1.1% | -5.1% |
| 20D | 9Developing evidence | 100.0% (9/9) | 33.3% (3/9) | -2.2% | -0.6% | -5.1% |
| 60D | 9Developing evidence | 100.0% (9/9) | 88.9% (8/9) | +3.8% | +6.8% | -8.7% |
| 120D | 9Developing evidence | 100.0% (9/9) | 100.0% (9/9) | +18.9% | +18.7% | +0.6% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
BNP PARIBAS
BNP.PA · France · Financial Services · Banks—Regional
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：68.4 / 100
4 insiders · 10 purchase events · €436k net purchases
Europe #91 · France #14
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+35.0 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+21.1 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+20.0 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+3.5 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+8.8 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
- ✓ Broad buyer cluster · 4+ distinct filers
- ✓ Strong insider role · ceo/chair involved
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
42%
Largest buyer：YANN GERARDIN · 212k EUR
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：503k EUR
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| YANN GERARDIN | 98.43 EUR | Oct 2, 2026 |
| JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE | 98.43 EUR | Oct 2, 2026 |
| YANN GERARDIN | 88.02 EUR | May 27, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 4 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-05-22 to 2026-05-27
- Current breadth input
- 1.000 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
YANN GERARDIN · 120k EUR · Price 98.43 EUR · Oct 2, 2026 - 🟢 Eligible purchase
JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE · 118k EUR · Price 98.43 EUR · Oct 2, 2026 - 🟢 Large eligible purchase
YANN GERARDIN · 92k EUR · Price 88.02 EUR · May 27, 2026 - 🟡 8 remaining qualified transaction line(s) across 8 disclosure(s)
- 🔴 5 other transaction line(s) are not counted as discretionary-buying evidence; 0 have zero price
Insider vs stock price
5 purchase day(s), 11 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window. 1 sale day(s), 1 sale line(s).
Daily close (EUR)Day with an insider purchaseTwo or more insiders the same dayDay with an insider sale
Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.
If you had followed the purchase
Each row starts on the first close on or after the day a purchase was made public, the earliest a reader could have acted, and ends on the last close shown above.
| Made public | Insiders | In this stock, now | In the median peer stock, now | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 3 | 986 −1.4% | 912 −8.8% | +74 +7.4 pts |
| 2026-05-28 | 1 | 997 −0.3% | 913 −8.7% | +83 +8.3 pts |
| 2026-05-29 | 1 | 979 −2.1% | 905 −9.5% | +74 +7.4 pts |
| 2026-10-05 | 3 | 994 −0.6% | 1,000 +0.0% | −6 −0.6 pts |
3 of 4 disclosure day(s) ended ahead of the median peer stock.
Close to close, before costs, taxes, dividends and currency moves. The peer is the median of the other stocks on the same exchange for which this site holds prices (103 here), not an index. This is what happened, not a forecast: across all purchases on this site the typical gap is close to zero.
Insider timeline
4 insiders bought on the same day, 27 May: 3 CEO / chair, 1 Board member. 4 of them bought again later. The share closed at 92.49 that day and at 91.17 most recently (−1.4%). That week 237 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, more than in 81% of the last 26 weeks: insiders often buy together when a closed period ends, so the timing alone says less than it seems. 1 of the buyers also disclosed a sale in the window.
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.
×A sale
A cross is one insider's sales on one day. People sell to pay tax, to cash in share awards or to hold less of one company, so a sale says less than a purchase does. When someone bought and sold on the same day, the cross sits beside the dot. The totals are under “Purchases against sales” below.
▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days
The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 27 May, with 4 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.
Blue line: this share's price, −1.1% over these six months
The closing price of each day, from 92.14 on 2026-04-21 to 91.17 on 2026-10-07. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.
Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, −10.7%
Taken from the 104 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share −1.1%, the typical one −10.7%, 9.6 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 237 companies, number 4 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
Nov
1Dec
Jan
1Feb
1Mar
Apr
4May
Jun
Jul
Aug
1Sep
4Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE | CEO / chair | 2 | — | 208.3k EUR | 2026-05-27 | −1.4% | fewer than 5 completed |
| THIERRY LABORDE | CEO / chair | 2 | — | 16.6k EUR | 2026-05-27 | −1.4% | fewer than 5 completed |
| YANN GERARDIN | CEO / chair | 2 | — | 212.0k EUR | 2026-05-27 | −1.4% | fewer than 5 completed |
| Juliette BRISAC | Board member | 4 | 1 | 66.4k EUR | 2026-05-22 | +1.8% | 6 completed, median +5.0% against peers after 60 sessions |
Purchases against sales
Purchases88%503.3k EUR · 11 line(s) · 4 insider(s)
Sales12%67.3k EUR · 1 line(s) · 1 insider(s)
Shares of the reported value of insider transactions in the 180-day window. Sales include disposals for tax, at option exercise or under a pre-set plan, which say little about an insider's view. The split describes what was disclosed; it is not a signal.
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 1.000 | 35.0 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.842 | 21.1 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.354 | 3.5 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 0.882 | 8.8 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
Since 2026-10-13: no longer on the bull side: bought in the last two weeks. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (several insiders together, senior executive buying, buyer's past purchases beat the benchmark); share price and trading, short sellers were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company results, company actions.
- The insider purchases themselvesBullseveral insiders together, senior executive buying, buyer's past purchases beat the benchmark Bearusual level for this company5 checked, under the threshold · 3 missing
- Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
- Company results2 missing
- Company actionsno data held
Bull case · the buying is informative
- 4 insiders bought within 15 days (2026-05-22 to 2026-05-27). Several people reaching the same decision at the same time is hard to put down to one person's circumstances.Record: after 5,401 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.3%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
- The buyers include the CEO or chair, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,797 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).
- The 6 earlier purchases by Juliette BRISAC beat CAC 40 by a median 5.0% over the following 60 trading days.
Bear case · discount it
- Buying at this level is normal here: 4 insiders bought in the previous 180 days and 4 in this one.Record: after 2,869 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.6%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
Evidence still missing
- The latest purchase (2026-10-02) falls within 30 days before the next scheduled results (2026-10-28), normally a closed period. Either the dealing was cleared as an exception or the results date is wrong; the filing and the financial calendar show which.
- The company's market value is not captured, so the purchases cannot be stated as a share of the business or of its trading volume.
- No earnings, margin or cash-flow figures are captured for this company. The latest annual and interim reports are where to check whether the business is improving or deteriorating.
- European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 11 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Acquisition” does not rule one out.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 8, 1 close to it
- EitherThe latest purchase is 15 days old. Bull up to 14 days, bear from 90. close to the threshold
- BearThe largest buyer accounts for 42% of the value bought. Counted for the bear side from 80%.
- Bear0 of 4 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- EitherNet purchases of €436k in 180 days. Bull from €1.0M, bear when all purchases total under €25k.
- BearInsiders sold €67k in the same 180 days, 13% of the amount bought. Counted for the bear side from 25%.
- BearThe share price changed +0.93% over six months (three months −8.7%, one month −12%). Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
- BearOver three months the share price changed −8.7% and the median of 268 Financial Services companies changed −0.35%: behind by 8 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
- BearThe register of AMF shows no published net short position in this company. Positions under 0.5% are never published, so this does not show that nobody is short.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
68.4 / 100
Latest recorded score
↑ +6.4 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 35
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.
- Purchase size+1.7 pts
- Recency+3.5 pts
- Conviction+1.2 pts
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 63.7
- 62.0
- 62.0
- 71.7
- 68.4
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 63.7 |
| 2026-08-27 | 63.7 |
| 2026-08-28 | 63.3 |
| 2026-08-31 | 63.3 |
| 2026-09-01 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-02 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-03 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-04 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-07 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-08 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-11 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-23 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-24 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-25 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-29 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-30 | 62.0 |
| 2026-10-01 | 62.0 |
| 2026-10-02 | 62.0 |
| 2026-10-03 | 62.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 62.0 |
| 2026-10-05 | 62.0 |
| 2026-10-06 | 72.2 |
| 2026-10-07 | 71.7 |
| 2026-10-08 | 71.5 |
| 2026-10-09 | 71.0 |
| 2026-10-12 | 69.9 |
| 2026-10-13 | 69.5 |
| 2026-10-14 | 69.2 |
| 2026-10-15 | 68.9 |
| 2026-10-16 | 68.7 |
| 2026-10-18 | 68.4 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 8.4% (55 / 655 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #6 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- +0.3 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − CAC 40 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 8Developing evidence | 100.0% (8/8) | 62.5% (5/8) | +0.5% | +0.1% | -3.3% |
| 20D | 6Developing evidence | 100.0% (6/6) | 83.3% (5/6) | +3.6% | +2.1% | -15.5% |
| 60D | 6Developing evidence | 100.0% (6/6) | 100.0% (6/6) | +5.0% | +6.7% | +2.8% |
| 120D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 50.0% (2/4) | -0.6% | +2.8% | -12.9% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 40.0% (2/5) | -1.1% | -0.6% | -2.9% |
| 20D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 25.0% (1/4) | -3.2% | -3.3% | -14.5% |
| 60D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 75.0% (3/4) | +4.4% | +1.5% | -14.8% |
| 120D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 33.3% (1/3) | -13.2% | -6.5% | -17.4% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 29.2%
- Beta
- —
- Avg daily volume
- €107.5M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- —
- P/E
- —
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- —
- ROE
- 9.7%
- Industry
- —
Prices to 07 Oct 2026: price cache (Eulerpool). From the company's annual report ↗, fiscal year ended 31 Dec 2025: ROE. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
The AMF register, read 18 Oct 2026, publishes no net short position of 0.5% or more in this issuer. Positions below 0.5% are never published, so this is not evidence that nobody is short.
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.
Buying size vs market trading
Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.
Market-data coverage: 249 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-07 · Ratio status: Unavailable
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
19 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 19 transaction line(s)
Oct 2, 2026Acquisition
THIERRY LABORDE · DIRECTEUR GENERAL DELEGUE
Recorrélation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles · 95.2018 shares × 98.4300 EUR · —
Oct 2, 2026Acquisition
YANN GERARDIN · DIRECTEUR GENERAL DELEGUE
Recorrélation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles · 1214.7525 shares × 98.4300 EUR · —
Oct 2, 2026Acquisition
JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE · DIRECTEUR GENERAL
Recorrélation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles · 1193.7678 shares × 98.4300 EUR · —
Unfold all 16 remaining filing row(s)
| Transaction date | Published | Filer | Role | Transaction | Instrument | Price (local currency) | Quote currency | Volume | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 2026-10-07 | Juliette BRISAC | membre du conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 91.4562 EUR | EUR | 141.2698 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 2026-10-07 | Juliette BRISAC | membre du conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 98.3330 EUR | EUR | 140.8183 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 2026-10-07 | Juliette BRISAC | membre du conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 98.3330 EUR | EUR | 99.6148 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-29 | Juliette BRISAC | Membre du conseil d’administration | Acquisition | Action | 92.1077 EUR | EUR | 128.9078 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-27 | THIERRY LABORDE | DIRECTEUR GENERAL DELEGUE | Acquisition | Recorrélation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles | 88.0200 EUR | EUR | 82.0541 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-27 | YANN GERARDIN | DIRECTEUR GENERAL DELEGUE | Acquisition | Recorrélation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles | 88.0200 EUR | EUR | 1050.2127 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-05-27 | JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE | DIRECTEUR GENERAL | Acquisition | Recorrélation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles | 88.0200 EUR | EUR | 1032.0702 | — |
| 2026-05-22 | 2026-05-28 | Juliette BRISAC | Membre du conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Recorrelation du FCP Actionnariat au cours de l'action par création de nouvelles | 87.9368 EUR | EUR | 204.2131 | — |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026-03-05 | Valerie CHORT | Corporate Director | Acquisition | Action | 89.3300 EUR | EUR | 1000.0000 | — |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026-02-26 | Bertrand de Mazières | Membre du Conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 94.1700 EUR | EUR | 200.0000 | — |
| 2026-02-20 | 2026-02-23 | Bertrand de Mazières | Membre du Conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 94.5000 EUR | EUR | 135.0000 | — |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-11 | Bertrand de Mazières | Membre du Conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 93.3900 EUR | EUR | 200.0000 | — |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-11 | Jean LEMIERRE | Président | Acquisition | Action | 77.3600 EUR | EUR | 430.0000 | — |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-11 | Jean LEMIERRE | Président | Acquisition | Action | 77.1600 EUR | EUR | 170.0000 | — |
| 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-21 | Nicolas Peter | administrateur | Acquisition | Action | 67.6779 EUR | EUR | 1000.0000 | — |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-03 | Bertrand de Mazières | Membre du Conseil d'administration | Acquisition | Action | 67.0600 EUR | EUR | 50.0000 | — |
Showing 19 of 19 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 5 other transaction(s)
Oct 1, 2026Re corrélation du FCP BNPP Actionnariat France no 897 suite distribution acompte sur
Jean LEMIERRE · Président
FCP · 59.8599 shares × 98.4300 EUR · —
Sep 28, 2026Réinvestissement du dividende au sein de contrats d'assurance vie
JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE · DIRECTEUR GENERAL
unités de compte au sein de contrats d'assurance vie · 2721.9265 shares × 96.4600 EUR · —
Jul 27, 2026Cession
Juliette BRISAC · Membre du conseil d'administration
Action · 620.0000 shares × 108.4754 EUR · —
Unfold all 2 remaining filing row(s)
| Transaction date | Published | Filer | Role | Transaction | Instrument | Price (local currency) | Quote currency | Volume | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-10-02 | Jean LEMIERRE | Président | Re corrélation du FCP BNPP Actionnariat France no 897 suite distribution de dividende BNPP | FCP | 88.0200 EUR | EUR | 51.7519 | — |
| 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-22 | JEAN-LAURENT BONNAFE | DIRECTEUR GENERAL | Réinvestissement du dividende au sein de contrats d'assurance vie | unités de compte au sein de contrats d'assurance vie | 86.3800 EUR | EUR | 2352.8066 | — |
Showing 5 of 5 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-18
- Ticker
- BNP.PA
- ISIN
- FR0000131104
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Banks—Regional
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