| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 100.0% (1/1) | +5.5% | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| 20D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 60D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 120D | 0No data | Awaiting maturity | — | — | — | — |
COMPANY RESEARCH
FDJ UNITED
FDJU.PA · France · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：55.5 / 100
2 insiders · 2 purchase events · €947k net purchases
Europe #433 · France #37
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+21.0 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+22.3 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+17.1 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+0.0 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+9.3 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
- ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
- ✓ Strong insider role · ? involved
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
88%
Largest buyer：AILES BRISEES Association · 995k EUR
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：1.13m EUR
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| UNION FEDERALE DES ANCIENS COMBATTANTS ET VICTIMES | 22.8206 EUR | Jun 16, 2026 |
| AILES BRISEES Association | 22.7643 EUR | Jun 8, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 2 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-16
- Current breadth input
- 0.600 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
UNION FEDERALE DES ANCIENS COMBATTANTS ET VICTIMES · 137k EUR · Price 22.8206 EUR · Jun 16, 2026 - 🟢 Eligible purchase
AILES BRISEES Association · 995k EUR · Price 22.7643 EUR · Jun 8, 2026 - 🔴 1 other transaction line(s) are not counted as discretionary-buying evidence; 0 have zero price
Insider vs stock price
No daily prices and volumes have been captured for this stock yet.
Insider timeline
2 insiders bought within 9 days, 8 Jun to 16 Jun: 2 Role not classified. That week 237 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, more than in 81% of the last 26 weeks: insiders often buy together when a closed period ends, so the timing alone says less than it seems.
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.
×A sale
A cross is one insider's sales on one day. People sell to pay tax, to cash in share awards or to hold less of one company, so a sale says less than a purchase does. When someone bought and sold on the same day, the cross sits beside the dot. The totals are under “Purchases against sales” below.
▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days
The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 8 Jun – 16 Jun, with 2 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 237 companies, number 4 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
2Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AILES BRISEES Association | Role not classified | 1 | — | 994.8k EUR | 2026-06-08 | — | fewer than 5 completed |
| UNION FEDERALE DES ANCIENS COMBATTANTS ET VICTIMES | Role not classified | 1 | — | 136.9k EUR | 2026-06-16 | — | fewer than 5 completed |
| XAVIER ETIENNE | Role not classified | — | 1 | — | — | — | fewer than 5 completed |
Purchases against sales
Purchases93%1.1M EUR · 2 line(s) · 2 insider(s)
Sales7%80.3k EUR · 1 line(s) · 1 insider(s)
Shares of the reported value of insider transactions in the 180-day window. Sales include disposals for tax, at option exercise or under a pre-set plan, which say little about an insider's view. The split describes what was disclosed; it is not a signal.
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.600 | 21.0 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.892 | 22.3 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.146; source unavailable, filled with a cohort-neutral value | 2.9 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 0.927 | 9.3 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
The two kinds of evidence disagree: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (more buyers than usual here), while short sellers argue against (published short positions). No data is held for: company actions.
- The insider purchases themselvesBullmore buyers than usual here Bearvalue concentrated in one buyer, latest purchase is old4 checked, under the threshold · 3 missing
- Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellersBearpublished short positions
- Company results1 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
- Company actionsno data held
Bull case · the buying is informative
- No insider bought in the 180 days before this window; 2 have bought in it. The buying is new for this company, not a habit.Record: after 3,134 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
Bear case · discount it
- AILES BRISEES Association accounts for 88% of the value bought. The other 1 buyer adds names more than money.Record: after 3,396 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.4%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.5%).
- The latest purchase was 123 days ago (2026-06-16). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.
- Short sellersDisclosed net short positions total 6.66% of the share capital across 5 named holders: other professional investors are positioned the opposite way. On 2026-10-02 it was 6.10%: up 0.56 points since.
Evidence still missing
- No buyer here has 5 or more completed earlier purchases on record, so there is no track record to weigh.
- Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin 0.67%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
- European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 2 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Acquisition” does not rule one out.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 7, 2 close to it
- BullAt most 2 insiders bought within any 15 days. Counted for the bull side from 3. close to the threshold
- BearThe share price changed −17% over six months (three months −4.7%, one month −7.1%) and stands 28% below its 52-week high. Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%. close to the threshold
- Bear0 of 2 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- EitherNet purchases equal 0.02% of the company's market value. Bull from 0.10%, bear below 0.01%.
- BearInsiders sold €80k in the same 180 days, 7.8% of the amount bought. Counted for the bear side from 25%.
- BearOver three months the share price changed −4.7% and the median of 264 Consumer Cyclical companies changed −3.7%: behind by 1 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
- BearProfit margin on the latest captured figures is 0.67%. Counted for the bear side when negative.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
55.5 / 100
Latest recorded score
→ +0.0 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 35
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
No score factor changed beyond rounding between the comparable snapshots.
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 55.9
- 55.5
- 55.5
- 55.5
- 55.5
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 55.9 |
| 2026-08-27 | 55.8 |
| 2026-08-28 | 55.8 |
| 2026-08-31 | 55.8 |
| 2026-09-01 | 55.7 |
| 2026-09-02 | 55.7 |
| 2026-09-03 | 55.7 |
| 2026-09-04 | 55.7 |
| 2026-09-07 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-08 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-11 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-23 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-25 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-29 | 55.5 |
| 2026-09-30 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-02 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-03 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-06 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-07 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-09 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-13 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-14 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-16 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | 55.5 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 8.3% (42 / 506 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #7 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- -2.4 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − CAC 40 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 100.0% (1/1) | +5.2% | +5.2% | +5.2% |
| 20D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| 60D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 120D | 0No data | Awaiting maturity | — | — | — | — |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 22.4%
- Beta
- 0.63
- Avg daily volume
- €10.3M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- €3.8B
- P/E
- 160.2×
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- 0.7%
- ROE
- 3.2%
- Industry
- Gambling
Prices to 28 Sep 2026: OpenBB/yfinance. From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 28 Sep 2026: Market cap, P/E, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
- Disclosed total
- 6.66%
- Named holders
- 5
- Latest position date
- 13 Oct 2026
| Holder | Net short, % of issued share capital | Position date |
|---|---|---|
| ILEX CAPITAL PARTNERS (UK) LLP | 4.06% | 02 Oct 2026 |
| MARSHALL WACE LLP | 0.89% | 29 Sep 2026 |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 0.60% | 29 Sep 2026 |
| PDT PARTNERS, LLC | 0.60% | 13 Oct 2026 |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 0.51% | 07 Oct 2026 |
Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: AMF · read 18 Oct 2026
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
No daily prices have been captured for this stock yet.
Buying size vs market trading
Complete price and volume history is not yet available.
Market-data coverage: 0 verified sessions · Latest session: — · Ratio status: Unavailable
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
2 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 2 transaction line(s)
Jun 16, 2026Acquisition
UNION FEDERALE DES ANCIENS COMBATTANTS ET VICTIMES · ACTIONNAIRE
Action · 6000.0000 shares × 22.8206 EUR · —
Jun 8, 2026Acquisition
AILES BRISEES Association · ACTIONNAIRE
Action · 43701.0000 shares × 22.7643 EUR · —
Showing 2 of 2 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 1 other transaction(s)
Jun 19, 2026Cession
XAVIER ETIENNE · CTO
Action · 3553.0000 shares × 22.6000 EUR · —
Showing 1 of 1 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-18
- Ticker
- FDJU.PA
- ISIN
- FR0013451333
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Gambling
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