| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 60.0% (3/5) | +1.2% | -0.0% | -4.8% |
| 20D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 40.0% (2/5) | -2.2% | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| 60D | 5Developing evidence | 100.0% (5/5) | 60.0% (3/5) | +2.9% | +1.2% | -5.1% |
| 120D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 33.3% (1/3) | -1.2% | -10.8% | -39.4% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
Paradox Interactive AB (publ)
PDX.ST · Sweden · Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：52.1 / 100
3 insiders · 4 purchase events · €438k net purchases
Europe #556 · Sweden #146
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+21.0 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+21.1 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+20.0 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+0.0 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+10.0 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
- ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
- ✓ Strong insider role · ceo/chair involved
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
88%
Largest buyer：Fredrik Wester · 6.62m SEK
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：7.53m SEK
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| Kaisa Salakka | 132.6–133.6 SEK | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Mattias Rengstedt | 133.59 SEK | May 21, 2026 |
| Fredrik Wester | 132.5 SEK | May 20, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 2 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-05-07 to 2026-05-21
- Current breadth input
- 0.600 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
Kaisa Salakka · 400k SEK · Price 132.6–133.6 SEK · Jun 12, 2026 - 🟢 Eligible purchase
Mattias Rengstedt · 267k SEK · Price 133.59 SEK · May 21, 2026 - 🟢 Large eligible purchase
Fredrik Wester · 6.62m SEK · Price 132.5 SEK · May 20, 2026 - 🟡 1 remaining qualified transaction line(s) across 1 disclosure(s)
- 🔴 6 other transaction line(s) are not counted as discretionary-buying evidence; 6 have zero price
Insider vs stock price
4 purchase day(s), 6 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.
Daily close (SEK)Day with an insider purchase
Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.
If you had followed the purchase
Each row starts on the first close on or after the day a purchase was made public, the earliest a reader could have acted, and ends on the last close shown above.
| Made public | Insiders | In this stock, now | In the median peer stock, now | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 1 | 1,015 +1.5% | 931 −6.9% | +84 +8.4 pts |
| 2026-05-20 | 1 | 1,046 +4.6% | 922 −7.8% | +124 +12.4 pts |
| 2026-05-21 | 1 | 1,051 +5.1% | 925 −7.5% | +127 +12.7 pts |
| 2026-06-16 | 1 | 1,056 +5.6% | 948 −5.2% | +108 +10.8 pts |
4 of 4 disclosure day(s) ended ahead of the median peer stock.
Close to close, before costs, taxes, dividends and currency moves. The peer is the median of the other stocks on the same exchange for which this site holds prices (436 here), not an index. This is what happened, not a forecast: across all purchases on this site the typical gap is close to zero.
Insider timeline
2 insiders bought within 2 days, 20 May to 21 May: 1 CEO / chair, 1 Board member. 1 more bought afterwards. The share closed at 132.90 on the first of those days and at 139.00 most recently (+4.6%). That week 244 companies across Europe disclosed insider purchases, more than in 96% of the last 26 weeks: insiders often buy together when a closed period ends, so the timing alone says less than it seems.
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.
▮Purple band: several insiders bought within 15 days
The band marks the stretch with the most different buyers: at most 15 days long and at least two people. Here it is 20 May – 21 May, with 2 insiders. Only the strongest stretch is marked. Several people deciding the same thing is harder to explain by one person's private reasons, but insiders often buy together just after a closed period ends, so compare it with the grey weekly bars.
Blue line: this share's price, +4.1% over these six months
The closing price of each day, from 133.50 on 2026-04-21 to 139.00 on 2026-10-07. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.
Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, −9.1%
Taken from the 457 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share +4.1%, the typical one −9.1%, 13.2 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases. The purple bar is the week of the band above: 244 companies, number 1 of the last 26 weeks. If that week was a peak anyway, buying together is less special than it looks.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
1Nov
1Dec
7Jan
4Feb
Mar
Apr
2May
1Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Wester | CEO / chair | 1 | — | 6.6M SEK | 2026-05-20 | +4.6% | fewer than 5 completed |
| Mattias Rengstedt | Board member | 2 | — | 504.2k SEK | 2026-05-07 | +1.5% | 5 completed, median +2.9% against peers after 60 sessions |
| Kaisa Salakka | Board member | 1 | — | 399.6k SEK | 2026-06-12 | +5.6% | fewer than 5 completed |
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.600 | 21.0 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.842 | 21.1 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 1.000 | 10.0 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
Since 2026-10-13, neither column has changed. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (senior executive buying, buyer's past purchases beat the benchmark); share price and trading, short sellers, company results were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company actions.
- The insider purchases themselvesBullsenior executive buying, buyer's past purchases beat the benchmark Bearvalue concentrated in one buyer, latest purchase is old, usual level for this company4 checked, under the threshold · 2 missing
- Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
- Company results1 checked, under the threshold · 1 missing
- Company actions1 missing
Bull case · the buying is informative
- The buyers include the CEO or chair, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,797 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).
- The 5 earlier purchases by Mattias Rengstedt beat OMX Stockholm 30 by a median 2.9% over the following 60 trading days.
Bear case · discount it
- Fredrik Wester accounts for 88% of the value bought. The other 2 buyers add names more than money.Record: after 3,396 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.4%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.5%).
- The latest purchase was 127 days ago (2026-06-12). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.
- Buying at this level is normal here: 8 insiders bought in the previous 180 days and 3 in this one.Record: after 2,869 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.6%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
Evidence still missing
- Only one reading of profitability is held (profit margin 5.7%). Whether earnings and cash flow are rising or falling needs the last two reports side by side.
- The next scheduled results are on 2026-10-29. They are the first hard test of either reading.
- European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 6 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Förvärv” does not rule one out.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 8, 1 close to it
- BullAt most 2 insiders bought within any 15 days. Counted for the bull side from 3. close to the threshold
- Bear0 of 3 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- EitherNet purchases equal 0.03% of the company's market value. Bull from 0.10%, bear below 0.01%.
- BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
- BearThe share price changed +13% over six months (three months +4.5%, one month −1.6%). Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
- BearOver three months the share price changed +4.5% and the median of 122 Communication Services companies changed −1.7%: ahead by 6 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
- BearThe register of Finansinspektionen shows no published net short position in this company. Positions under 0.5% are never published, so this does not show that nobody is short.
- BearProfit margin on the latest captured figures is 5.7%. Counted for the bear side when negative.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
52.1 / 100
Latest recorded score
↑ +0.1 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 35
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
No score factor changed beyond rounding between the comparable snapshots.
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 66.9
- 52.1
- 52.0
- 52.0
- 52.1
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 66.9 |
| 2026-08-27 | 66.9 |
| 2026-08-28 | 52.1 |
| 2026-08-31 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-01 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-02 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-03 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-04 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-07 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-08 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-10 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-11 | 52.1 |
| 2026-09-14 | 52.0 |
| 2026-09-23 | 52.0 |
| 2026-09-24 | 52.0 |
| 2026-09-25 | 52.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 52.0 |
| 2026-09-29 | 52.0 |
| 2026-09-30 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-01 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-02 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-03 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-05 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-06 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-07 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-08 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 52.1 |
| 2026-10-12 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-13 | 52.1 |
| 2026-10-14 | 52.1 |
| 2026-10-15 | 52.0 |
| 2026-10-16 | 52.1 |
| 2026-10-18 | 52.1 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 10.0% (25 / 249 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #3 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- -0.8 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − OMX Stockholm 30 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 25.0% (1/4) | -2.0% | -1.9% | -5.0% |
| 20D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 25.0% (1/4) | -8.7% | -6.6% | -14.5% |
| 60D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 50.0% (2/4) | -12.3% | -13.2% | -44.9% |
| 120D | 4Small sample | 100.0% (4/4) | 25.0% (1/4) | -16.8% | -14.2% | -36.2% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 3Small sample | 75.0% (3/4) | 66.7% (2/3) | +1.4% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| 20D | 3Small sample | 75.0% (3/4) | 33.3% (1/3) | -7.2% | -2.9% | -7.2% |
| 60D | 3Small sample | 75.0% (3/4) | 100.0% (3/3) | +4.4% | +8.5% | +4.4% |
| 120D | 3Small sample | 75.0% (3/4) | 33.3% (1/3) | -1.2% | +3.6% | -1.2% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 37.4%
- Beta
- 0.04
- Avg daily volume
- SEK 18.8M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- SEK 14.3B
- P/E
- 115.1×
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- ROE
- 5.2%
- Industry
- Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Prices to 07 Oct 2026: price cache (Eulerpool). From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 18 Oct 2026: Market cap, P/E, Profit margin, ROE, Beta, Industry. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
The Finansinspektionen register, read 18 Oct 2026, publishes no net short position of 0.5% or more in this issuer. Positions below 0.5% are never published, so this is not evidence that nobody is short.
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.
Buying size vs market trading
Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.
Market-data coverage: 252 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-07 · Ratio status: Unavailable
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
20 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 20 transaction line(s)
Jun 12, 2026Förvärv
Kaisa Salakka · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 344.0 shares × 132.6 SEK · —
Jun 12, 2026Förvärv
Kaisa Salakka · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 956.0 shares × 132.7 SEK · —
Jun 12, 2026Förvärv
Kaisa Salakka · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 1700.0 shares × 133.6 SEK · —
Unfold all 17 remaining filing row(s)
| Transaction date | Published | Filer | Role | Transaction | Instrument | Price (local currency) | Quote currency | Volume | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-21 | Mattias Rengstedt | Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan | Förvärv | Aktie | 133.59 SEK | SEK | 2000.0 | — |
| 2026-05-20 | 2026-05-20 | Fredrik Wester | Verkställande direktör (VD) | Förvärv | Aktie | 132.5 SEK | SEK | 50000.0 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-07 | Mattias Rengstedt | Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan | Förvärv | Aktie | 135.46 SEK | SEK | 1750.0 | — |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | Alexander Bricca | Ekonomichef/finanschef/finansdirektör | Förvärv | Aktie | 121.5 SEK | SEK | 3300.0 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-18 | Gustav Palmqvist | Arbetstagarrepresentant i styrelsen eller arbetstagarsuppleant | Förvärv | Aktie | 118.80 SEK | SEK | 2000.0 | — |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026-02-17 | Mathias Hermansson | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 117.28 SEK | SEK | 5000.0 | — |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026-02-17 | Andras Vajlok | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 117.69 SEK | SEK | 10000.0 | — |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-01-30 | Fredrik Wester | Verkställande direktör (VD) | Förvärv | Aktie | 133.2 SEK | SEK | 41337.0 | — |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-01-30 | Henrik Fåhraeus | Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan | Förvärv | Aktie | 131.38 SEK | SEK | 2000.0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-01-29 | Mattias Lilja | Vice VD | Förvärv | Aktie | 128.0 SEK | SEK | 780.0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-01-29 | Andras Vajlok | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 126.0 SEK | SEK | 10000.0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-01-29 | Mattias Rengstedt | Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan | Förvärv | Aktie | 127.71 SEK | SEK | 2000.0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-01-29 | Alexander Bricca | Ekonomichef/finanschef/finansdirektör | Förvärv | Aktie | 127.8 SEK | SEK | 4000.0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-01-29 | Mathias Hermansson | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 126.60 SEK | SEK | 3000.0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-01-29 | Andras Vajlok | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 129.86 SEK | SEK | 10000.0 | — |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-19 | Mathias Hermansson | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 161.0 SEK | SEK | 3000.0 | — |
| 2025-11-27 | 2025-11-27 | Mathias Hermansson | Styrelseledamot | Förvärv | Aktie | 171.20 SEK | SEK | 2400.0 | — |
Showing 20 of 20 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 6 other transaction(s)
Jun 18, 2026Tilldelning
Fredrik Wester · Verkställande direktör (VD)
Option · 50000.0 shares × 0.0 SEK · —
Jun 18, 2026Tilldelning
Paula Thelin · Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan
Option · 25000.0 shares × 0.0 SEK · —
Jun 17, 2026Tilldelning
Henrik Fåhraeus · Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan
Option · 25000.0 shares × 0.0 SEK · —
Unfold all 3 remaining filing row(s)
| Transaction date | Published | Filer | Role | Transaction | Instrument | Price (local currency) | Quote currency | Volume | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-17 | Mattias Lilja | Vice VD | Tilldelning | Option | 0.0 SEK | SEK | 25000.0 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-17 | Mattias Rengstedt | Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan | Tilldelning | Option | 0.0 SEK | SEK | 25000.0 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-17 | Alexander Bricca | Ekonomichef/finanschef/finansdirektör | Tilldelning | Option | 0.0 SEK | SEK | 25000.0 | — |
Showing 6 of 6 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-18
- Ticker
- PDX.ST
- ISIN
- SE0008294953
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Company logos by Parqet