| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +8.4% | +8.4% | +8.4% |
| 20D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +27.3% | +27.3% | +27.3% |
| 60D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +53.9% | +53.9% | +53.9% |
| 120D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -4.4% | -4.4% | -4.4% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
MilDef Group AB
MILDEF.ST · Sweden · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：35.4 / 100
2 insiders · 2 purchase events · €20k net purchases
Europe #1375 · Sweden #370
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+10.5 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+16.1 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+18.0 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+0.4 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+6.5 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
- ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
- ⚠ Buying conviction is reduced by concurrent selling
- ✓ Strong insider role · cfo involved
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
52%
Largest buyer：Viveca Johnsson · 251k SEK
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：481k SEK
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| Elisabeth Åbom | 230 SEK | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Viveca Johnsson | 221.978 SEK | Jul 22, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 1 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-07-22 to 2026-07-22
- Current breadth input
- 0.300 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
Elisabeth Åbom · 230k SEK · Price 230 SEK · Aug 31, 2026 - 🟢 Eligible purchase
Viveca Johnsson · 251k SEK · Price 221.978 SEK · Jul 22, 2026 - 🔴 1 other transaction line(s) are not counted as discretionary-buying evidence; 0 have zero price
Insider vs stock price
2 purchase day(s), 2 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window. 1 sale day(s), 1 sale line(s).
Daily close (SEK)Day with an insider purchaseDay with an insider sale
Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.
If you had followed the purchase
Each row starts on the first close on or after the day a purchase was made public, the earliest a reader could have acted, and ends on the last close shown above.
| Made public | Insiders | In this stock, now | In the median peer stock, now | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | 1 | 943 −5.7% | 959 −4.1% | −16 −1.6 pts |
| 2026-09-01 | 1 | 974 −2.6% | 951 −4.9% | +22 +2.2 pts |
1 of 2 disclosure day(s) ended ahead of the median peer stock.
Close to close, before costs, taxes, dividends and currency moves. The peer is the median of the other stocks on the same exchange for which this site holds prices (438 here), not an index. This is what happened, not a forecast: across all purchases on this site the typical gap is close to zero.
Insider timeline
2 insiders bought in the last 180 days, each once and more than 15 days apart.
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.
×A sale
A cross is one insider's sales on one day. People sell to pay tax, to cash in share awards or to hold less of one company, so a sale says less than a purchase does. When someone bought and sold on the same day, the cross sits beside the dot. The totals are under “Purchases against sales” below.
Blue line: this share's price, +26.0% over these six months
The closing price of each day, from 173.00 on 2026-04-21 to 217.90 on 2026-10-07. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.
Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, −9.1%
Taken from the 457 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share +26.0%, the typical one −9.1%, 35.0 points ahead. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
1Jul
1Aug
Sep
Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viveca Johnsson | CFO | 1 | — | 250.8k SEK | 2026-07-22 | −5.7% | fewer than 5 completed |
| Karin Svalander | Board member | — | 1 | — | — | — | fewer than 5 completed |
| Elisabeth Åbom | Board member | 1 | — | 230.0k SEK | 2026-08-31 | −5.3% | fewer than 5 completed |
Purchases against sales
Purchases65%480.8k SEK · 2 line(s) · 2 insider(s)
Sales35%259.7k SEK · 1 line(s) · 1 insider(s)
Shares of the reported value of insider transactions in the 180-day window. Sales include disposals for tax, at option exercise or under a pre-set plan, which say little about an insider's view. The split describes what was disclosed; it is not a signal.
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.300 | 10.5 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.642 | 16.1 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.100 | 2.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.038 | 0.4 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 0.649 | 6.5 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
Since 2026-10-13, neither column has changed. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
Independent evidence does not object: the purchases themselves carry bull lines (more buyers than usual here, senior executive buying); share price and trading, short sellers were checked and none crosses a bear threshold. No data is held for: company results, company actions.
- The insider purchases themselvesBullmore buyers than usual here, senior executive buying Bearinsiders also sold5 checked, under the threshold · 3 missing
- Share price and trading2 checked, under the threshold
- Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
- Company results2 missing
- Company actions1 missing
Bull case · the buying is informative
- No insider bought in the 180 days before this window; 2 have bought in it. The buying is new for this company, not a habit.Record: after 3,134 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
- The buyers include the CFO, who sees more of the business than most filers. This site's score gives little or no credit for that: in its backtests purchases by senior executives did no better than other insiders' purchases.Record: after 8,797 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.1%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.2%).
Bear case · discount it
- Insiders also sold €23k in the same 180 days, 54% of the amount bought.
Evidence still missing
- No buyer here has 5 or more completed earlier purchases on record, so there is no track record to weigh.
- The company's market value is not captured, so the purchases cannot be stated as a share of the business or of its trading volume.
- No earnings, margin or cash-flow figures are captured for this company. The latest annual and interim reports are where to check whether the business is improving or deteriorating.
- The next scheduled results are on 2026-10-22. They are the first hard test of either reading.
- European notifications have no field saying whether a purchase was pre-arranged; there is no counterpart to the US 10b5-1 box. None of the 2 purchase lines mentions a plan, but a bare “Förvärv” does not rule one out.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 8
- BullAt most 1 insider bought within any 15 days. Counted for the bull side from 3.
- BearThe largest buyer accounts for 52% of the value bought. Counted for the bear side from 80%.
- Bear0 of 2 buyers filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- EitherNet purchases of €20k in 180 days. Bull from €1.0M, bear when all purchases total under €25k.
- EitherThe latest purchase is 47 days old. Bull up to 14 days, bear from 90.
- BearThe share price changed +65% over six months (three months +17%, one month −6.8%). Counted for the bear side from a fall of 20%.
- BearOver three months the share price changed +17% and the median of 462 Industrials companies changed −0.32%: ahead by 17 points. Counted for the bear side from 20 points behind.
- BearPublished net short positions total 0.58% of the share capital across 1 named holder. Counted for the bear side from 2%. Unchanged since 2026-10-02.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
35.4 / 100
Latest recorded score
↓ -3.4 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 33
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.
- Recency-3.4 pts
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 41.3
- 40.4
- 36.3
- 35.8
- 35.4
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 41.3 |
| 2026-08-27 | 41.3 |
| 2026-09-01 | 44.4 |
| 2026-09-02 | 43.7 |
| 2026-09-03 | 43.2 |
| 2026-09-04 | 42.6 |
| 2026-09-07 | 41.2 |
| 2026-09-08 | 40.8 |
| 2026-09-09 | 40.4 |
| 2026-09-10 | 40.0 |
| 2026-09-11 | 39.7 |
| 2026-09-14 | 38.8 |
| 2026-09-23 | 37.0 |
| 2026-09-24 | 36.9 |
| 2026-09-25 | 36.8 |
| 2026-09-28 | 36.4 |
| 2026-09-29 | 36.3 |
| 2026-09-30 | 36.3 |
| 2026-10-01 | 36.2 |
| 2026-10-02 | 36.1 |
| 2026-10-03 | 36.1 |
| 2026-10-04 | 36.1 |
| 2026-10-05 | 35.9 |
| 2026-10-06 | 35.8 |
| 2026-10-07 | 35.8 |
| 2026-10-08 | 35.7 |
| 2026-10-09 | 35.7 |
| 2026-10-12 | 35.6 |
| 2026-10-13 | 35.5 |
| 2026-10-14 | 35.5 |
| 2026-10-15 | 35.5 |
| 2026-10-16 | 35.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | 35.4 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 7.5% (79 / 1,047 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #8 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- -0.3 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − OMX Stockholm 30 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +8.4% | +8.4% | +0.6% |
| 20D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 50.0% (1/2) | +5.6% | +5.6% | -2.1% |
| 60D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 100.0% (2/2) | +50.0% | +50.0% | +31.4% |
| 120D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 50.0% (1/2) | +18.9% | +18.9% | -26.6% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 50.0% (1/2) | -1.6% | -1.6% | -6.7% |
| 20D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -7.3% | -7.3% | -9.6% |
| 60D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 50.0% (1/2) | +28.5% | +28.5% | -7.6% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 100.0% (1/1) | +56.0% | +56.0% | +56.0% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 65.8%
- Beta
- —
- Avg daily volume
- SEK 46.0M
VALUATION
- Market cap
- —
- P/E
- —
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- -18.3%
- ROE
- -20.0%
- Industry
- —
Prices to 07 Oct 2026: price cache (Eulerpool). From the company's annual report ↗, fiscal year ended 31 Dec 2024: Profit margin, ROE. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
- Disclosed total
- 0.58%
- Named holders
- 1
- Latest position date
- 13 Aug 2026
| Holder | Net short, % of issued share capital | Position date |
|---|---|---|
| PDT Partners LLC | 0.58% | 13 Aug 2026 |
Only positions of 0.5% or more are published, so the total is a lower bound, not total short interest. A row with an old position date may be a disclosure that was never withdrawn. Source: Finansinspektionen · read 18 Oct 2026
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.
Buying size vs market trading
Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.
Market-data coverage: 251 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-07 · Ratio status: Unavailable
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
The filing records held for this company carry no link to the original notice.
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
2 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 2 transaction line(s)
Aug 31, 2026Förvärv
Elisabeth Åbom · Styrelseledamot
Aktie · 1000.0 shares × 230.0 SEK · —
Jul 22, 2026Förvärv
Viveca Johnsson · Ekonomichef/finanschef/finansdirektör
Aktie · 1130.0 shares × 221.978 SEK · —
Showing 2 of 2 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 1 other transaction(s)
Aug 14, 2026Avyttring
Karin Svalander · Annan medlem i bolagets administrations-, lednings- eller kontrollorgan
Aktie · 1135.0 shares × 228.80 SEK · —
Showing 1 of 1 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-18
- Ticker
- MILDEF.ST
- ISIN
- SE0016074249
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
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