| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 0.0% (0/3) | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| 20D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 33.3% (1/3) | -0.9% | -0.0% | -5.4% |
| 60D | 3Small sample | 100.0% (3/3) | 0.0% (0/3) | -3.8% | -3.6% | -5.6% |
| 120D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -14.5% | -14.5% | -22.1% |
COMPANY RESEARCH
BARONSMEAD VENTURE TRUST PLC
BVT.L · United Kingdom · Closed-End Funds · Asset Management
INSIDER SIGNAL
Insider activity score：44.2 / 100
1 insiders · 1 purchase events · €30k net purchases
Europe #925 · United Kingdom #256
WHY THIS SIGNAL?
Score anatomy
Each bar shows the contribution to the current score; the weights and formula stay unchanged.
Cluster+10.5 / 35
How many distinct insiders bought in the cluster
Purchase size+16.7 / 25
Purchase value relative to company size and liquidity
Role+13.0 / 20
The seniority and relevance of participating insiders
Recency+0.0 / 10
How recently the purchases occurred
Conviction+10.0 / 10
How clearly buying stands out from other activity
What is holding the score back?
- ⚠ Buyer breadth is moderate · fewer than 4 distinct filers
- ⚠ Insider role contributes less on the current role scale
- ⚠ Purchase activity is becoming less recent
The role contribution uses the inverted role input of the current European model.
Buying concentration
100%
Largest buyer：MICHAEL PROBIN · 25k GBP
Gross qualified purchase transaction-line value：25k GBP
The headline € total is net buying for the screen; this module uses gross qualified purchase transaction-line values in the filing currency, so the amounts can differ. The current 15-day buyer-breadth input counts distinct buyers; value concentration is disclosed separately here.
This is a ranking under the current European screening rules—not a probability of gain, return forecast, or buy recommendation.
Key purchase quotes (filing currency)
| Filer | Price per unit | Trade date |
|---|---|---|
| MICHAEL PROBIN | 0.4945 GBP | May 14, 2026 |
Model details
Cluster breakdown (does not change the score)
- 15-day buyer breadth (count)
- 1 distinct reported filers
- Peak time window
- 2026-05-14 to 2026-05-14
- Current breadth input
- 0.300 (capped at 4+ buyers)
- Buyer independence
- Not yet measured; related-party fields are not cross-market comparable
What the filings show
- 🟢 Recent eligible purchase
MICHAEL PROBIN · 25k GBP · Price 0.4945 GBP · May 14, 2026 - 🔴 1 other transaction line(s) are not counted as discretionary-buying evidence; 0 have zero price
Insider vs stock price
1 purchase day(s), 1 purchase line(s) in the 180-day window.
Daily close (GBp)Day with an insider purchase
Markers sit on the closing price of the transaction day. They show when insiders traded, not the price they paid or received. "Since" compares that day's close with the last close shown; it is what happened at this company, not a forecast.
If you had followed the purchase
Each row starts on the first close on or after the day a purchase was made public, the earliest a reader could have acted, and ends on the last close shown above.
| Made public | Insiders | In this stock, now | In the median peer stock, now | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 1 | 10 −99.0% | 1,026 +2.6% | −1,015 −101.5 pts |
0 of 1 disclosure day(s) ended ahead of the median peer stock.
Close to close, before costs, taxes, dividends and currency moves. The peer is the median of the other stocks on the same exchange for which this site holds prices (189 here), not an index. This is what happened, not a forecast: across all purchases on this site the typical gap is close to zero.
Insider timeline
One insider bought, once (14 May). The share closed at 42.00 that day and at 0.43 most recently (−99.0%).
Tap an item for what it means.
●A purchase: the bigger the dot, the more was bought
Each dot is one insider's purchases on one day. The dot's area follows the amount: the largest purchase here gets the largest dot. Hold the pointer over a dot to see the date and the amount.
Blue line: this share's price, −99.0% over these six months
The closing price of each day, from 42.00 on 2026-04-21 to 0.43 on 2026-10-09. The line has no scale; read it for high and low: a dot on a low stretch was bought cheaply, a dot on a high stretch was not.
Dashed line: the typical stock on the same exchange, +2.5%
Taken from the 491 other stocks on the same exchange that this site holds prices for. Each is measured from the first day of the window, and every day the middle one is drawn. It starts where the blue line starts, so the gap between the two is the difference: this share −99.0%, the typical one +2.5%, 101.5 points behind. It is not an index and not a comparison within one industry.
▂Grey bars: companies across Europe disclosing purchases each week
A taller bar is a week in which more companies disclosed insider purchases.
This company: insiders buying per month, last 12 months
1Nov
Dec
Jan
1Feb
Mar
2Apr
1May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Darker bars are inside the 180-day window above.
Who traded
| Insider | Role | Purchases | Sales | Bought | First purchase | Share price since | Earlier purchases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICHAEL PROBIN | Board member | 1 | — | 25.0k GBP | 2026-05-14 | −99.0% | fewer than 5 completed |
Why this score? · Model details
Priority = 100 × Σ(fixed weight × 0–1 rule-based input)
| Factor | Weight | This company input | Point contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-day buyer breadth (count) | 35% | 0.300 | 10.5 |
| Qualified-buy size | 25% | 0.668 | 16.7 |
| Role informativeness (inverted) | 20% | 0.350 | 7.0 |
| Recency | 10% | 0.000 | 0.0 |
| Buy/sell conviction | 10% | 1.000 | 10.0 |
This is a heuristic ordering under the current rules, not a calibrated return forecast. It explains why candidates rank differently; the public-filing evidence and data limits are shown below.
BULL VS BEAR
Two readings of this buying
The same filings, read two ways. Each line is a fact stored for this company with the number behind it, and appears only when that number crosses a fixed threshold. Neither side is a forecast and no winner is declared.
Since 2026-10-13, neither column has changed. All bull and bear lists, and what followed each line in the past →
Where the evidence comes from
The purchases themselves carry no bull line, and share price and trading argue against (price down over six months). No data is held for: company results.
- The insider purchases themselvesBearone buyer only, latest purchase is old, usual level for this company3 checked, under the threshold · 2 missing
- Share price and tradingBearprice down over six months
- Short sellers1 checked, under the threshold
- Company results1 missing
- Company actionsBearsubscription to new shares1 checked, under the threshold
Bull case · the buying is informative
Nothing held here goes beyond the fact that an insider bought.
Bear case · discount it
- Company actions1 of 1 purchase lines is a subscription to newly issued shares (“Purchase of shares under the Prospectus for Offers for Subscription issued october 2025”), bought from the company at an issue price and not in the market. Insiders often take part to support a financing.
- Only one insider bought. A single purchase can reflect that person's own finances rather than a view on the company.Record: after 4,732 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.7%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−3.3%).
- The latest purchase was 156 days ago (2026-05-14). A reporting period has passed since, so what the buyers knew then may already be public.
- Buying at this level is normal here: 4 insiders bought in the previous 180 days and 1 in this one.Record: after 2,869 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −2.6%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.7%).
- Share price and tradingThe share price is down 99% over six months (three months −99%, one month −99%) and stands 99% below its 52-week high. Insiders have bought into a fall the market has not reversed.Record (nearest stored case: price 20% or more below its prior 52-week high): after 11,077 earlier disclosures like this, the median 60-session excess return was −3.2%, within 1 percentage point of all comparable disclosures (−2.6%).
Evidence still missing
- No buyer here has 5 or more completed earlier purchases on record, so there is no track record to weigh.
- No earnings, margin or cash-flow figures are captured for this company. The latest annual and interim reports are where to check whether the business is improving or deteriorating.
- The filings give the size of each trade, not what the buyer already held. Whether a purchase added 1% to a personal stake or doubled it is not known.
Checked and under the threshold: 5
- Bear0 of 1 buyer filed as a person closely associated with a manager. Counted for the bear side from half.
- EitherNet purchases equal 0.01% of the company's market value. Bull from 0.10%, bear below 0.01%.
- BearNo insider sale is recorded in the same 180 days.
- BearThe register of FCA shows no published net short position in this company.
- BullThe company announced 1 transaction in its own shares in the last 30 days (latest 2026-09-29); the 1 read is a purchase. For a closed-end fund a buyback is routine: it is how the board narrows the discount to net asset value. Not counted for the bull side.
Both columns arrange stored facts only. They do not change the insider score or the ranking and are not investment advice.
Signal history
44.2 / 100
Latest recorded score
↓ -11.0 ptsversus the comparable snapshot on 2026-09-14 (34 calendar days apart)
- Recorded snapshots
- 35
- First snapshot
- 2026-08-26
Only scores captured when the scoring run completed are compared. These are raw signal scores saved when each full scoring run completed. They describe changes in research ranking, not price performance or returns.
Why did it change?
Decomposition across the five score factors between comparable snapshots; historical scores are not recalculated.
- Cluster-10.5 pts
- Purchase size-0.5 pts
Signal score history
Fixed 0–100 scale; dates are spaced by calendar time.
Recent recorded points
- 55.6
- 55.2
- 55.2
- 44.2
- 44.2
View all recorded scores
| Snapshot date | Signal score |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 55.6 |
| 2026-08-27 | 55.6 |
| 2026-08-28 | 55.2 |
| 2026-08-31 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-01 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-02 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-03 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-04 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-07 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-08 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-10 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-11 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-14 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-23 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-24 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-25 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-28 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-29 | 55.2 |
| 2026-09-30 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-01 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-02 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-03 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-04 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-05 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-06 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-07 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-08 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-09 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-12 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-13 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-14 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-15 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-16 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-18 | 44.2 |
Sector context
- Buying breadth
- 9.7% (21 / 216 issuers)
- Sector rank
- #4 / 12
- 7D breadth change
- +0.0 pp · vs 2026-10-12 (6d)
- 30D breadth change
- History building
This is sector-level research context. It does not affect the Insider Signal or ranking.
Insider profile outcomes
Historical performance following insider filings. The company role is translated below each name while preserving the original title.
- Excess return = stock return − FTSE 100 return over the same period.
- Hit rate = completed events with positive excess return ÷ total completed events.
- Price coverage = valid point-in-time prices ÷ events mature enough for that period.
- Returns start on the first shared trading session on or after publication.
- Small-sample rule: n<5 is shown for transparency and is not scored.
Events are disclosure-level observations; related disclosures published on the same date may share a return path and may not be statistically independent. This research enrichment does not affect the insider score or ranking.
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -5.9% | -5.9% | -10.7% |
| 20D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 60D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 50.0% (1/2) | +1.4% | +1.4% | -3.8% |
| 120D | 2Small sample | 100.0% (2/2) | 0.0% (0/2) | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.0% |
| Period | Completed events | Price coverage | Hit rate | Median excess return | Average excess return | Worst excess return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -4.8% | -4.8% | -4.8% |
| 20D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -5.7% | -5.7% | -5.7% |
| 60D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -5.9% | -5.9% | -5.9% |
| 120D | 1Small sample | 100.0% (1/1) | 0.0% (0/1) | -13.2% | -13.2% | -13.2% |
Market context
PRICE PERFORMANCE
VOLATILITY & LIQUIDITY
- Volatility
- 12078.8%
- Beta
- —
- Avg daily volume
- £561.9
VALUATION
- Market cap
- £192.4M
- P/E
- 43.4×
FUNDAMENTALS
- Profit margin
- —
- ROE
- —
- Industry
- —
Prices to 11 Oct 2026: OpenBB/yfinance. From OpenBB/yfinance, captured 11 Oct 2026: Market cap, P/E. It does not affect the insider score or rank.
Disclosed net short positions
The FCA register, read 18 Oct 2026, publishes no aggregate net short position for this issuer.
Short-position disclosures are external context; they do not affect the insider score, ranking, or filing eligibility.
Insiders' buying price vs the latest close
The latest close in the price history is more than a week old.
Buying size vs market trading
Market history is too old for this snapshot; ratios are withheld.
Market-data coverage: 507 verified sessions · Latest session: 2026-10-09 · Ratio status: Unavailable
Traded value is estimated as close × shares traded, in major currency units. Includes disclosed qualifying purchases; disclosures may lag. Contractual or planned acquisitions are not necessarily discretionary. Ratios describe relative trading size, not market participation or score contributions.
Latest news
No news has been captured for this company.
Regulatory filings
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-09-18 · trade date 2026-09-18
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-05-14 · trade date 2026-05-14
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-04-02 · trade date 2026-04-02
Unfold all 7 filings
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-09-18 · trade date 2026-09-18
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-05-14 · trade date 2026-05-14
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-04-02 · trade date 2026-04-02
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-04-02 · trade date 2026-04-02
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-04-02 · trade date 2026-04-02
- Insider filing announcement · published 2026-02-20 · trade date 2026-02-20
- Insider filing announcement · published 2025-11-20 · trade date 2025-11-20
Filing evidence
These are underlying national-feed records from the 365-day window ending on the saved ranking snapshot. The score uses only the latest 180 days; older qualifying equity purchases remain visible for audit but do not enter the current score. The original filer, role, transaction classification, instrument, price, volume, value and source fields are retained. The first three rows are shown; remaining records can be unfolded for audit. Other transaction types are retained but excluded from the score.
Excluded transactions & classification
5 qualifying purchase disclosure(s) · 5 transaction line(s)
May 14, 2026Purchase of shares under the Prospectus for Offers for Subscription issued october 2025
MICHAEL PROBIN · NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 · 50555 shares × 0.4945 GBP · —
Open filingApr 2, 2026Purchase of shares under the Prospectus for Offers for Subscription issued october 2025
FIONA MILLER SMITH · NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 · 10700 shares × 0.4673 GBP · —
Open filingApr 2, 2026Purchase of shares under the Prospectus for Offers for Subscription issued october 2025
MANDEEP SINGH · NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 · 10756 shares × 0.4649 GBP · —
Open filingUnfold all 2 remaining filing row(s)
| Transaction date | Published | Filer | Role | Transaction | Instrument | Price (local currency) | Quote currency | Volume | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | 2026-02-20 | DAVID MELVIN | NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR | Purchase of shares under the Prospectus for Offers for Subscription issued october 2025 | Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 | 0.5530 GBP | GBP | 18084 | Open filing |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-20 | MICHAEL PROBIN | NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR | Purchase of shares under the Prospectus for Offers for Subscription issued october 2025 | Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 | 0.5334 GBP | GBP | 22498 | Open filing |
Showing 5 of 5 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Other disclosed transactions · excluded from score
View 2 other transaction(s)
Sep 18, 2026Acquisition of shares through participation in the Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Michael Probin · Non-Executive Director
Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 · 7339 shares × 0.4359 GBP · —
Open filingApr 2, 2026Acquisition of shares through participation in the Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Michael Probin · Non-Executive Director
Ordinary Shares of £0.10 each ISIN: GB0002631934 · 7248 shares × 0.431 GBP · —
Open filingShowing 2 of 2 matching raw-feed row(s) from the current 365-day research window. Prices and reported values remain in the filing currency and its major unit (for example, UK pence are parsed as GBP). The screen-level € aggregate is separately FX-normalised for research ranking, not a trade-date conversion.
Snapshot & identity
- Snapshot date
- 2026-10-18
- Ticker
- BVT.L
- ISIN
- GB0002631934
- Sector
- Closed-End Funds
- Industry
- Asset Management
Company logos by Parqet